Turnball, Hamilton - September 2026 Real Estate Report

Turnball, Hamilton: Your Home Is Worth More Than the City Thinks - Here's the Proof

The Vibe Right Now

If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs in Turnball, here's what's actually happening. The market is taking a breather. Values are dipping slightly, but the numbers are still strong - and if you're sitting on a house here, you're sitting on serious equity.

Let's break it down by property type, because houses and condos are telling two very different stories right now.

Houses: Still the King of the Block

The average HonestDoor Price for a house in Turnball is $1,473,027. That's down 2.35% from the previous period, and the 3-month moving average sits at $1,514,385 - so yes, we're in a soft patch. But "soft" is relative when your home is worth nearly $1.5 million.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $1,473,027
• Predicted Market Value: $1,508,524
• Recent Value Change: -3.56%
• Average Rental Estimate: $5,405 per month
• Rental Yield: 4.27% - moderate but real income
• Airbnb Estimate: $269 per night
• Hamilton Airbnb Rank: 33rd out of all neighbourhoods
• Growth Rank: 163 out of 201 neighbourhoods in Hamilton

That growth rank is the honest part. On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Turnball houses are sitting in the bottom third for price growth right now. That's worth knowing before you make any big decisions. Compare that to nearby Morden at $1,052,323 and Sobel at $1,232,078 - Turnball houses are still priced significantly higher than both neighbours, which tells you this is a premium pocket of Hamilton.

Condos: A Steadier Ship

Condo owners in Turnball, we're actually holding up better than the house market. The average HonestDoor Price is $569,049, down just 0.66% - barely a blip. The 3-month moving average is $573,238, and the predicted value is $572,817, so everything is tracking close together. That's stability.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $569,049
• Predicted Market Value: $572,817
• Recent Value Change: -0.58%
• Average Rental Estimate: $2,813 per month
• Rental Yield: 3.70% - moderate returns
• Airbnb Estimate: $139 per night
• Hamilton Airbnb Rank: 81st out of all neighbourhoods
• Growth Rank: 63 out of 188 neighbourhoods in Hamilton

On the condo leaderboard, Turnball ranks 63rd out of 188 - that puts us in the above-average category for Hamilton. One thing worth noting: nearby Morden condos average $682,804 and Sobel sits at $634,148. Turnball condos are priced below both. That's either a buying opportunity or a signal to watch closely, depending on which side of the deal you're on.

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here's the thing about your city assessment - it's a snapshot from the past. The city looks at sale data from a fixed point in time and applies it broadly across the neighbourhood. It doesn't know your renovated kitchen. It doesn't know what sold on your street last month. It's a blunt instrument.

The HonestDoor Price is a real-world check. It updates continuously using current market data, recent comparable sales, and live market signals. For a Turnball house owner, the difference between a stale government assessment and a current HonestDoor Price could be tens of thousands of dollars - in either direction. Before you list, before you refinance, before you even have a dinner party conversation about what your place is worth, check your HonestDoor Price. It's the number that actually reflects today's market, not last year's.

The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

Straight talk: this is not a panic moment, but it's also not a "wait and see" moment if you're a house owner. Values are sliding - down 3.56% recently - and the growth rank of 163 out of 201 means Turnball houses are not leading the Hamilton recovery right now. If you've been on the fence about selling, the window of peak pricing may be narrowing.

For condo owners, the picture is calmer. A -0.58% dip is noise, not a trend. Your above-average growth rank gives you a bit more breathing room. Summer 2025 could still be a solid time to list if you're priced right.

For both property types, the play is the same: get your HonestDoor Price today, compare it to what you think your assessment says, and have an honest conversation about timing. The market rewards sellers who move with current data - not sellers who guess.

• House sellers: The market is softening - don't wait for a rebound that isn't guaranteed
• Condo sellers: Stable conditions, above-average growth rank - summer could work in your favour
• Both: Your HonestDoor Price is the starting point for any serious conversation about selling
• Rental angle: $5,405 per month for houses and $2,813 for condos means holding has real income potential if selling doesn't feel right yet

Turnball is still one of the pricier addresses in Hamilton. That doesn't change overnight. But knowing exactly where you stand - right now, not six months ago - is how you make the smart move.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.