Sturgeon Creek, Winnipeg - September 2026 Real Estate Report

Sturgeon Creek Real Estate: What Your Neighbour's House Is Actually Worth Right Now

If you live in Sturgeon Creek and you haven't checked your home's value since your last city assessment, you're probably working with a number that's already out of date. Here's what's actually happening on the ground in 2026.

The Vibe: Houses vs. Condos - Two Very Different Stories

We've got a split market in Sturgeon Creek right now, and it matters which side of that line your property sits on.

Houses: Sellers Are Holding the Cards

If you own a house here, the market is working in your favour. The one house that sold this period went for 104.97% of list price - meaning the buyer paid above asking. That's not a fluke, that's a signal. Homes are sitting on the market for an average of just 13 days, which puts us in a very fast-selling category - ranked 12th out of 71 comparable neighbourhoods in Winnipeg for speed.

• Average sale price: $504,200
• Average listing price this month: $419,600
• Price per square foot: $405
• Average days on market: 13 days
• Sale-to-list ratio: 104.97% (above asking)
• Predicted market value: $404,229
• 3-month moving average: $400,942 (trending up)
• Estimated monthly rent: $2,103
• Rental yield: 5.82%
• Neighbourhood growth rank: 81 out of 191 in Winnipeg (above average)

The predicted market value is climbing past the 3-month average, which tells us momentum is building, not fading. A 5.82% rental yield is also genuinely strong - if you're an investor or thinking about renting before selling, that number is worth paying attention to.

Condos: Taking a Breather

The condo side of Sturgeon Creek is a different conversation. Values have dipped 4.03% recently, and the predicted market value of $622,402 is sitting below the 3-month moving average of $638,776. That's a cooling trend worth watching. On the leaderboard, condo growth ranks 157th out of 175 neighbourhoods in Winnipeg - that puts us near the bottom of the pack right now.

• Average sale price: $238,200
• Average listing price this month: $239,900
• Price per square foot: $234
• Average days on market: 2 days
• Sale-to-list ratio: 99.67% (just below asking)
• Predicted market value: $622,402
• 3-month moving average: $638,776 (trending down)
• Estimated monthly rent: $1,941
• Rental yield: 4.12%
• Neighbourhood growth rank: 157 out of 175 in Winnipeg (bottom performers)

The silver lining? Condos here are still selling fast - ranked 4th out of 52 neighbourhoods for days on market. Buyers want in, even if prices are softening. And at $238,200, we're actually selling above what Heritage Park condos are fetching at $207,750, so we're not at the bottom of the city either.

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here's the thing about city assessments - they're a snapshot from the past. By the time that number lands in your mailbox, the market has already moved. The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time, pulling from actual transaction data, not a government formula that runs on a lag.

Right now, the average HonestDoor Price for houses in Sturgeon Creek is $396,717 - down 1.86% from last period. For condos, it's $649,711 - up 4.39%. Those two numbers are moving in opposite directions, and your city assessment won't tell you that. If you're a house owner, that slight dip is worth knowing before you make any decisions. If you own a condo, that 4.39% gain is real money that a stale assessment is probably leaving on the table.

Think of the HonestDoor Price as the real-world check - the number your neighbour's house actually sold for, not what the city guessed it was worth 18 months ago.

The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

If you own a house in Sturgeon Creek, this summer looks like a good window. Buyers are paying over asking, properties are moving in under two weeks, and the predicted value is trending upward. You're not going to get a better combination of speed and price than what we're seeing right now.

If you own a condo, the picture is more nuanced. Yes, condos are selling in 2 days - that's remarkable. But values are sliding, and sitting at rank 157 out of 175 for growth means the wind isn't at your back the way it is for house owners. If you've been thinking about selling, sooner is probably smarter than later while buyer demand is still keeping those days-on-market numbers low.

Either way, the first step is knowing what your place is actually worth today - not what the city said last year. Check your HonestDoor Price, compare it to what's selling around you in Heritage Park, Crestview, and Booth, and you'll have a much clearer picture before you call anyone.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.