St-Francois-La Baie, Gatineau - July 2026 Real Estate Report

St-Francois-La Baie, Gatineau: Your Neighbour Just Asked If Now Is a Good Time to Sell. Here Is the Real Answer.

The Vibe Right Now

If you own property in St-Francois-La Baie, you are sitting in one of Gatineau's more interesting spots. Values have dipped slightly in the short term, but the forward-looking numbers tell a different story. The market is not crashing - it is catching its breath. Here is what we are actually seeing on the ground, broken down by property type.

Houses: A Top-10 Neighbourhood on the Leaderboard

This is the headline for house owners in our neighbourhood. On the Gatineau growth leaderboard, St-Francois-La Baie houses rank 7 out of 36 comparable neighbourhoods. That puts us in the top 20 percent in the city. That is not a small thing.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $571,453
• Short-term change: down 1.16% from the previous period
• Predicted market value: $578,171 - already climbing above the 3-month average of $570,810
• Average rental estimate: $2,619 per month
• Rental yield: 5.58% - that is a strong return by any measure
• Airbnb potential: $130 to $131 per night, ranked 20th in Gatineau
• Recent value change: up 0.95%

Yes, the HonestDoor Price dipped 1.16% recently. But the predicted value of $578,171 is already trending higher than the 3-month moving average. That small dip looks more like a blip than a trend. For context, we are priced well above nearby St-Rosaire ($518,733) and Moreau-Le Coteau ($545,590), which tells you St-Francois-La Baie carries a real premium in this pocket of Gatineau.

Condos: Above Average and Picking Up Steam

Condo owners, your numbers are worth paying attention to right now. The predicted value of $402,800 is running significantly ahead of the 3-month moving average of $365,967. That gap is not noise - it suggests upward momentum is building.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $399,600
• Short-term change: down 0.79% from the previous period
• Predicted market value: $402,800 - well above the 3-month average of $365,967
• Average rental estimate: $2,090 per month
• Rental yield: 4.04% - moderate but solid
• Airbnb potential: $105 per night, ranked 6th in Gatineau for condos
• Recent value change: up 0.55%
• Growth rank: 15 out of 35 comparable neighbourhoods - above average in Gatineau

An Airbnb rank of 6th in Gatineau for condos is genuinely impressive. If you own a condo here and are not at least thinking about short-term rental income, that number deserves a second look.

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here is the thing about your city assessment - it is a snapshot from the past. It gets updated on a fixed schedule, which means it can be months or even years behind what your home is actually worth today. The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time, pulling from current sales data and market signals. It is the difference between checking yesterday's weather forecast and actually looking out the window.

Right now, the predicted house value of $578,171 is already running ahead of the current HonestDoor average of $571,453. If you are making any financial decision - refinancing, selling, even just understanding your net worth - the HonestDoor Price is the number to anchor on, not whatever the city last told you your home was worth.

So What Does This Mean If You Are Thinking About Selling This Summer?

Straight talk: the short-term dip in both houses and condos is small. We are talking under 1.2 percent. Meanwhile, the predicted values are already pointing higher. The neighbourhood growth rank for houses - 7th out of 36 in Gatineau - is the kind of stat that shows up in buyer conversations. Buyers doing their homework will see it too.

If you are a house owner thinking about listing this summer, you are not selling into a weak market. You are selling in a neighbourhood that ranks near the top of Gatineau for growth momentum, with a price point that sits above most of your immediate neighbours. That is a story worth telling to buyers.

If you own a condo, the above-average growth rank and that strong Airbnb ranking give you two angles to work with - the owner-occupier buyer and the investor buyer. Both have reasons to be interested in St-Francois-La Baie right now.

Bottom line: check your HonestDoor Price today. Not next month. The market is moving, and the number on your last tax bill is not keeping up.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.