South Creek, Stony Plain - September 2026 Real Estate Report

South Creek, Stony Plain: Your Neighbour Just Got a Surprise on Their Assessment

The Headline

If you own a home in South Creek and you haven't checked your HonestDoor Price lately, you're probably working off a number that doesn't reflect what's actually happening on your street right now. Here's the real picture.

The Vibe - What Houses Are Doing Right Now

We only have houses to talk about in South Creek, and honestly, the story is interesting. The one sale that closed this period hit $534,900 - that's a big jump from last month. Yes, one sale can swing a monthly average hard, so take the 45.7% month-over-month figure with some context. What matters more is the trend underneath it.

• Average sale price this month: $534,900
• Price per square foot: $251
• Average days on market: 20 days
• Sale-to-list price ratio: 100% - sellers are getting exactly what they're asking
• Properties sold this period: 1
• Total 2026 transactions in the neighbourhood: 12

Twenty days on market and full asking price. That's not a neighbourhood where buyers are pushing back. When homes sell at 100% of list, it tells us sellers who price right are not leaving money on the table.

The predicted market value for houses sits at $480,744, and that number is climbing - up from the 3-month moving average of $466,280. The direction is clear. South Creek is moving up, not sideways.

The Neighbourhood Leaderboard

Here's something worth knowing if you like context. South Creek ranks 5 out of 36 neighbourhoods in Stony Plain for growth rate. That puts us in the top tier of the city for value momentum. Days on market ranks 9 out of 24, which means we sell moderately fast compared to the rest of Stony Plain. Not the fastest, but far from slow.

For price rank, we sit at 16 out of 31 - below average in raw price compared to other Stony Plain neighbourhoods. That's actually a good thing for buyers coming in, and it signals there's still room to run for owners already here.

For comparison, nearby neighbourhoods look like this:

• Fairways - HonestDoor Price $492,638, rental estimate $2,486/month
• Graybriar - HonestDoor Price $470,985, rental estimate $2,356/month
• Creekside Point - HonestDoor Price $530,718, rental estimate $2,628/month

South Creek's predicted house value of $480,744 already beats the Fairways HonestDoor Price of $406,319 when you look at the forward-looking model. We're competitive and climbing.

The Secret Sauce - Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here's the honest truth about government assessments: they're a snapshot from the past. By the time that number lands in your mailbox, the market has already moved. In South Creek right now, property values have shifted 4.58% recently. That's real money. On a $480,000 home, that's roughly $22,000 in movement that your old assessment simply doesn't capture.

The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time using actual transaction data, not a once-a-year government estimate. The average HonestDoor Price for South Creek sits at $454,946 right now. It's down 5.37% from the previous period, which is worth knowing - but the predicted value model at $480,744 shows the more current trajectory is pointing back up. These two numbers together give you a much sharper picture than any assessment letter ever could.

If you're a landlord or thinking about becoming one, the rental estimate of $2,297 per month and a rental yield of 5.65% are strong numbers. That yield is genuinely solid for this market. Airbnb potential sits at around $114 to $119 per night, though South Creek ranks 19th in Stony Plain for Airbnb - so long-term rental is likely your stronger play here.

The So What - Should You Sell This Summer?

If you've been sitting on the fence about listing, here's what the data is actually telling you. Buyers in South Creek are paying full asking price. Homes are moving in 20 days. The predicted value is rising above the 3-month average. And we rank in the top 5 neighbourhoods in all of Stony Plain for growth momentum.

That's a decent hand to play with.

The one caution is volume - 12 transactions in 2026 so far means this is a smaller, tighter market. One or two sales can shift the averages quickly in either direction. Pricing your home accurately from day one matters more here than in a high-volume neighbourhood where the data smooths out.

The move right now is simple. Pull your HonestDoor Price, compare it to what your neighbour's place just sold for, and have a real conversation about what your home is worth today - not what the city thought it was worth last year. That's the number that actually matters when you're deciding whether this summer is your summer to sell.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.