HonestDoor

    Rough Waters, Bathurst - July 2026 Real Estate Report

    2026-07-15 00:00 · Your HonestDoor Team

    Bathurst, Rough Waters

    Rough Waters, Bathurst: Prices Are Sliding - Here Is What Your Home Is Actually Worth Right Now

    The Vibe on the Ground

    If you have been watching the "For Sale" signs in Rough Waters lately, here is what is actually happening. The market is taking a breather. The average HonestDoor Price for a house here sits at $167,367, and that number has dipped 4.77% from the previous period. The predicted market value comes in a bit higher at $177,070, but even that is trending down - it is off 8.01% recently and sitting below the 3-month moving average of $185,625. That gap tells us momentum is pointing in one direction right now, and it is not up.

    We are not in freefall here, but we are not coasting either. For those of us who own in Rough Waters, that is worth paying attention to before summer hits.

    The Neighbourhood Leaderboard - Where Rough Waters Stands

    Let us be straight with you. On the Bathurst growth leaderboard, Rough Waters ranks 13 out of 13 for houses. Dead last. That does not mean your home has no value - it means the price momentum here is lagging behind every other comparable neighbourhood in the city right now.

    Look at what is happening next door:

    • South Bathurst - average HonestDoor Price $225,068, rental estimate $1,170 per month
    • Bathurst - average HonestDoor Price $278,619, rental estimate $1,284 per month
    • East Bathurst - average HonestDoor Price $166,676, rental estimate $891 per month

    Rough Waters is priced closer to East Bathurst, but South Bathurst and Bathurst proper are pulling significantly ahead. If you are a buyer, that gap is worth noting. If you are a seller, it is a reality check.

    The Secret Sauce - Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

    Here is the thing about your city assessment - it is a snapshot from the past. It does not know that prices in Rough Waters have shifted 4.77% downward. It does not know the 3-month moving average has dropped to $185,625. It is essentially a photo from a year or two ago being used to describe what your house looks like today.

    The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time. It is pulling in actual transaction data - there were 3 property sales in Rough Waters in 2026 - and it is recalculating as the market moves. That is the number that reflects what a buyer would actually put on the table today, not what the city decided your home was worth before the market shifted.

    If your tax assessment is sitting higher than your HonestDoor Price of $167,367, you may be paying more than your fair share. That is a conversation worth having.

    The So What - Should You Sell This Summer?

    If you are thinking about listing in Rough Waters this summer, here is the honest take. Prices are moving against you right now. A predicted value of $177,070 sounds okay until you realize it has dropped 8.01% recently and is still falling below its own moving average. Waiting for a rebound that has not shown up yet is a gamble.

    That said, here is what works in your favour:

    • Rental yield of 6.12% - that is a strong number and makes your property attractive to investors who run the math
    • Estimated rent of $952 per month gives buyers a clear income story
    • Airbnb rank of 11 in Bathurst means short-term rental potential is real, even if the nightly estimate of $45 to $47 is modest
    • Total transaction rank of 5 in Bathurst means deals do happen here - buyers are active

    The play this summer is to price sharp and lead with the income angle. A buyer who sees 6.12% yield and a below-market entry point compared to South Bathurst or Bathurst proper has a reason to move fast. Price it right using your HonestDoor Price as your anchor - not last year's assessment - and you have a real shot at a clean sale before fall.

    rough waters | bathurst | july 2026

    This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.

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    Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton.Copyright 2025 by the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. All Rights Reserved.

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    REALTOR®, REALTORS®, and the REALTOR® logo are certification marks that are owned by REALTOR® Canada Inc. and licensed exclusively to The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). These certification marks identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA and who must abide by CREA's By-Laws, Rules, and the REALTOR® Code. The MLS® trademark and the MLS® logo are owned by CREA and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA.


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