Rouge, Scarborough - July 2026 Real Estate Report

Rouge, Scarborough Real Talk: Your Home Is Worth More Than the City Thinks

The Vibe Right Now

If you live in Rouge and you have been quietly wondering what your place is actually worth, here is the honest answer - it depends a lot on what type of property you own. Houses and condos are telling two very different stories right now, and both are worth paying attention to.

Houses: Steady, But Watch the Trend

The house market in Rouge is not on fire, but it is not falling apart either. The average sale price sits at $880,000, with listings coming in at $899,888. Buyers are paying about 97.79% of list price, which means they are negotiating a small discount - roughly $20,000 off asking. That is a stable buyers market, not a panic, but sellers need to price smart from day one.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $1,068,528 (up 0.14% from last period)
• Average sale price: $880,000
• Average list price this month: $899,888
• Price per square foot: $597
• Average days on market: 10 days
• Sale-to-list ratio: 97.79%
• Estimated monthly rent: $4,398
• Rental yield: 4.59%
• Airbnb estimate: $218 per night

Ten days on market is actually pretty quick. The days-on-market rank is 4 out of 11 in Scarborough, which puts Rouge houses among the faster-selling properties in the area. Buyers are not dragging their feet when something is priced right.

The growth rank for houses is 10 out of 24 in Scarborough - that puts Rouge in the above-average tier on the neighbourhood leaderboard. Not leading the pack, but solidly ahead of the middle. The predicted market value of $1,067,047 is slightly down from the 3-month moving average of $1,071,223, so values have softened a touch recently. Nothing dramatic, but worth noting if you are timing a sale.

Condos: The Surprise Performer

Here is where it gets interesting. Rouge condos are quietly having a moment. The HonestDoor Price jumped 8.99% from the previous period, landing at $582,625. That is not a typo - nearly 9% growth is a real move, and it puts Rouge condos on the radar for investors and first-time buyers alike.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $582,625 (up 8.99% from last period)
• Predicted market value: $580,146
• 3-month moving average: $565,803 (predicted value is trending up)
• Estimated monthly rent: $2,826
• Rental yield: 3.69%
• Airbnb estimate: $140 per night
• Airbnb rank in Scarborough: 4th

The condo growth rank is 11 out of 25 in Scarborough - again, above average on the neighbourhood leaderboard. And that Airbnb rank of 4th in all of Scarborough is genuinely strong. If you own a condo in Rouge and you are not at least thinking about short-term rental income, that number is worth a second look.

Compared to nearby neighbourhoods, Rouge condos are priced below both Highland Creek ($675,060) and Rouge Park ($754,079). We are the more affordable entry point in this pocket of Scarborough, and the predicted value of $580,146 is already nudging ahead of Highland Creek condos at $575,943.

The Secret Sauce: Ditch the Tax Assessment, Check Your HonestDoor Price

Here is something most Rouge homeowners do not realize. The city's property assessment - the number on your tax bill - is a snapshot frozen in time. It does not update with the market. It does not know what sold on your street last month. It is basically a historical document.

The HonestDoor Price is the real-world check. It pulls in current sales data, market trends, and neighbourhood comparisons to give you a number that actually reflects today - not two or three years ago. For Rouge house owners, that means a HonestDoor Price of $1,068,528 versus an average sale price of $880,000. Those two numbers tell you something important about where the market sees your home heading.

If you are making any financial decision - refinancing, selling, even just figuring out if your insurance coverage makes sense - the HonestDoor Price is the number to start with, not the assessment notice sitting in your filing cabinet.

So What Does This Mean If You Are Thinking About Selling This Summer?

For house sellers, the window is open but it requires a sharp price. Buyers are active - 10 days on market proves that - but they are not overpaying. The 97.79% sale-to-list ratio means if you list at $950,000 hoping to negotiate up, it will not work. Price it honestly and it moves. Price it with wishful thinking and it sits.

For condo sellers, the timing looks genuinely good. An 8.99% jump in HonestDoor Price, a predicted value trending above the 3-month average, and a top-5 Airbnb ranking in Scarborough - that combination gives you a real story to tell buyers. Investors looking for rental income will pay attention to a 3.69% yield and a strong short-term rental market.

Bottom line for Rouge this summer - houses need smart pricing, condos have momentum, and anyone who has not checked their HonestDoor Price recently is making decisions with old information. Do not be that neighbour.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.