HonestDoor

    Oakwood, Sarnia - September 2026 Real Estate Report

    2026-09-16 00:00 · Your HonestDoor Team

    Sarnia, Oakwood

    Oakwood, Sarnia: What Your Neighbour Hasn't Told You Yet

    The Vibe Right Now

    If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs in Oakwood, the honest answer is: it depends on what you own. Houses and condos are telling two very different stories right now, and knowing which one you're in could change what you do this summer.

    Houses - Taking a Breather

    Let's be straight with you. The house market in Oakwood is cooling off. The average HonestDoor Price sits at $907,169, but that number has slipped 2.20% from the previous period. The predicted market value is $927,552, and that figure is trending down from a 3-month moving average of $953,952. That's a gap worth paying attention to.

    Only 1 house sold recently, and the average sale price came in at $550,000 - well below the HonestDoor Price. Price per square foot is around $204. On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Oakwood houses rank 18 out of 19 for growth in Sarnia. That puts us near the bottom of the pack right now.

    The silver lining? If you own a house here and you're thinking like an investor, the rental yield is 5.15%. That's a strong return. Estimated rent runs about $3,729 per month, and Airbnb potential clocks in at $185 per night - good enough for a rank of 3rd in all of Sarnia for short-term rental income.

    • Average HonestDoor Price: $907,169 (down 2.20%)
    • Predicted Market Value: $927,552
    • 3-Month Moving Average: $953,952
    • Average Sale Price: $550,000
    • Price Per Square Foot: $204
    • Estimated Monthly Rent: $3,729
    • Rental Yield: 5.15%
    • Airbnb Rate: $185 per night (Sarnia Rank: 3rd)
    • Growth Rank: 18 out of 19 in Sarnia

    Condos - A Different Story Entirely

    Here's where Oakwood surprises us. Condos are actually one of the top performers in the city right now. The predicted market value is $308,523, and that number is climbing - up from a 3-month moving average of $295,789. Values have nudged up 0.41% recently, and on the neighbourhood leaderboard, Oakwood condos rank 2nd out of 19 in Sarnia for growth. That's a completely different conversation than the house market.

    The HonestDoor Price for condos averages $285,251, though it has dipped 7.54% from the previous period - so watch that number closely. Rental income potential sits at $1,539 per month, with a rental yield of 4.19%. Airbnb potential is $76 per night.

    • Average HonestDoor Price: $285,251 (down 7.54%)
    • Predicted Market Value: $308,523
    • 3-Month Moving Average: $295,789
    • Estimated Monthly Rent: $1,539
    • Rental Yield: 4.19%
    • Airbnb Rate: $76 per night
    • Growth Rank: 2 out of 19 in Sarnia

    The Secret Sauce - Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

    Here's the thing about your city assessment: it's a snapshot from the past. It doesn't know what happened in your neighbourhood last month. The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time, pulling in actual sales data and market signals as they happen. Right now, with house values shifting and condo values climbing, the gap between your old assessment and your real-world value could be significant - in either direction.

    If you're a house owner in Oakwood, your assessment might actually be overstating your current market position. If you own a condo, your assessment is likely lagging behind the gains we're seeing. Either way, checking your HonestDoor Price today gives you the number that actually reflects what a buyer would pay right now - not what a government spreadsheet said two years ago.

    The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

    If you own a house in Oakwood and you're thinking about listing this summer, the market is telling you to move with intention. Values are sliding, sales volume is thin, and we're near the bottom of the growth rankings in Sarnia. That doesn't mean you can't sell - it means pricing it right from day one matters more than ever. Overpricing in a softening market is the fastest way to sit on a listing all summer.

    If you own a condo, the timing looks more interesting. We're ranking near the top of Sarnia for growth, and predicted values are rising. A well-priced condo in Oakwood right now has real momentum behind it.

    Either way, the first step is the same: pull your HonestDoor Price, compare it to what your neighbours are listed at, and have an honest conversation about where you actually stand. That's the number that matters.

    oakwood | sarnia | september 2026

    This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.

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    Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton.Copyright 2025 by the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. All Rights Reserved.

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    REALTOR®, REALTORS®, and the REALTOR® logo are certification marks that are owned by REALTOR® Canada Inc. and licensed exclusively to The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). These certification marks identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA and who must abide by CREA's By-Laws, Rules, and the REALTOR® Code. The MLS® trademark and the MLS® logo are owned by CREA and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA.


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