Maugerville, Fredericton - September 2026 Real Estate Report

Maugerville Real Talk: Your Neighbour's House Is Worth More Than the City Thinks

The Vibe Right Now

If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs in Maugerville, here's what's actually happening. The market is taking a breather on paper, but the forward-looking numbers tell a different story. Houses are sitting at an average HonestDoor Price of $396,589 - down 2.58% from last period - but the predicted value is already climbing to $409,856. That gap matters. It means the dip may already be behind us.

On the condo side, we're seeing a sharper cooldown. The average HonestDoor Price for condos is $551,307, off 5.63%, and the predicted value of $584,214 is actually tracking below the 3-month moving average of $611,960. That tells us condos are still finding their floor. Not a panic moment, but worth watching closely if you own one.

Houses vs. Condos - Breaking It Down

Here is the honest split for us in Maugerville right now:

• House average HonestDoor Price: $396,589 (down 2.58%)
• House predicted value: $409,856 - trending above the 3-month average of $396,835
• House rental estimate: $1,897 per month - or $1,947 on the forward estimate
• House rental yield: 5.86% - that is a strong return by any measure
• House Airbnb estimate: $94 per night
• House transactions in 2026: 20 sales - ranking 7th in all of Fredericton for volume
• House growth rank: 1 out of 11 comparable neighbourhoods in Fredericton

• Condo average HonestDoor Price: $551,307 (down 5.63%)
• Condo predicted value: $584,214
• Condo rental estimate: $2,748 per month - forward estimate at $2,875
• Condo rental yield: 3.68% - moderate, but still positive cash flow territory
• Condo Airbnb estimate: $136 per night - ranking 2nd in all of Fredericton for Airbnb potential
• Condo growth rank: 1 out of 3 comparable neighbourhoods

That growth rank for houses is the number we keep coming back to. Ranking 1 out of 11 neighbourhoods in Fredericton means Maugerville is sitting at the top of the local leaderboard for house value momentum. Compared to neighbours like Downtown Area at $735,554 or Skyline Acres-Southwood Park at $604,053, we are priced lower - but we are growing faster. That is the trade-off that smart buyers are starting to notice.

The Secret Sauce - Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here is the thing about your city assessment: it is a snapshot from the past. It does not know what sold on your street last month. It does not factor in where the market is heading. The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time using actual transaction data - like the 20 sales that happened right here in Maugerville in 2026 alone.

With houses already showing a predicted value of $409,856 against a current HonestDoor Price of $396,589, there is a $13,000-plus gap between where the market is today and where it is heading. If you are relying on a government assessment to make a financial decision - whether that is refinancing, selling, or just knowing what you own - you are working with old information. Your HonestDoor Price is the real-world check that keeps you current.

The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

If you own a house in Maugerville and you are thinking about listing this summer, the timing conversation is more interesting than the headline numbers suggest. Yes, the average price dipped 2.58%. But the predicted value is already above the current average, and we rank first in growth among 11 Fredericton neighbourhoods. That is not a market in trouble - that is a market catching its breath before the next move up.

A 5.86% rental yield also means buyers with investment intentions are going to look at Maugerville houses seriously. That expands your buyer pool, which is exactly what you want when you are selling.

For condo owners, be a little more patient. The predicted value of $584,214 is still well above the current HonestDoor Price of $551,307, so there is upside - but the 3-month moving average of $611,960 shows prices have been sliding. Listing at the right number will matter more than listing fast. Check your HonestDoor Price before you have any pricing conversation with an agent.

Bottom line: Maugerville is not Downtown Area, and it is not trying to be. We are the neighbourhood where the growth rank is first and the price still has room to run. That is a good place to be heading into summer.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.