Guildwood, Scarborough - September 2026 Real Estate Report

Guildwood Real Talk: Your Home Is Worth More Than the City Thinks - But the Window May Be Narrowing

The Vibe Right Now

If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs on Guildwood's tree-lined streets, here's what's actually happening. The market is sending mixed signals depending on what you own - and knowing the difference could be worth tens of thousands of dollars to you this summer.

Houses: Holding Strong, But Watch the Trend

The average HonestDoor Price for a house in Guildwood sits at $1,175,895 - up 2.41% from the previous period. That's a real number, not a guess. But here's the honest part: the short-term predicted value has dipped to $1,148,169, which is already sliding below the 3-month moving average of $1,151,844. Property values have nudged down 0.64% recently.

In plain terms? The headline number is still strong, but the momentum is taking a breather. We're not in freefall - not even close - but the market is telling us that waiting around isn't a free strategy anymore.

• Average HonestDoor Price (Houses): $1,175,895
• Recent price change: -0.64%
• Predicted value: $1,148,169
• 3-month moving average: $1,151,844
• Estimated monthly rent: $4,614
• Rental yield: 4.50%
• Airbnb estimate: $229/month
• Neighbourhood leaderboard rank (growth): 14 out of 25 in Scarborough - below average

On the rental side, $4,614 a month with a 4.50% yield is a decent return for Scarborough. If you're holding a house here as an investment, the income story is still solid. And with an Airbnb rank of 6 in Scarborough, short-term rental demand in Guildwood is genuinely competitive.

How do we stack up against the neighbours? Scarborough Village houses average $1,322,877 - a step up from us. West Hill comes in at $996,991 and Woburn at $937,459. Guildwood sits comfortably in the middle of the pack - premium enough to attract serious buyers, accessible enough to move product.

Condos: The Priciest in the Area - But Feeling Some Pressure

Condo owners, pay attention. The average HonestDoor Price for a Guildwood condo is $641,841 - and that's actually the highest condo price in the immediate area, ranking 1 out of 3 comparable Scarborough neighbourhoods. Scarborough Village condos average $430,394, West Hill $479,512, and Woburn $423,531. We're leading that pack by a wide margin.

But the short-term data is worth watching. The predicted value has slipped to $652,550, down from a 3-month moving average of $671,543. That's a recent change of -4.64% - the steepest drop in this data set. Only 1 condo sold recently, with an average sale price of $930,000 at roughly $547 per square foot.

• Average HonestDoor Price (Condos): $641,841
• Recent price change: -1.64%
• Predicted value: $652,550
• 3-month moving average: $671,543
• Average sale price: $930,000
• Price per square foot: $547
• Estimated monthly rent: $3,119
• Rental yield: 3.54%
• Airbnb rank in Scarborough: 2 out of 25 - near the top
• Neighbourhood leaderboard rank (growth): 17 out of 25 in Scarborough - below average

The Airbnb rank of 2 in Scarborough is a standout number. If you own a condo here and haven't looked at short-term rental income, that's a conversation worth having. The demand signal is real.

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here's the thing about your city assessment - it's a snapshot from the past. The Municipal Property Assessment Corporation updates values on a cycle that can lag the real market by years. By the time that number lands in your mailbox, the market has already moved on.

The HonestDoor Price is a live, real-world check. It pulls from actual sales data and updates continuously. For a Guildwood house owner, the difference between the static assessment and the HonestDoor Price of $1,175,895 could represent a significant gap - one that affects how you price a listing, negotiate a sale, or even refinance.

Right now, with values showing early signs of softening on the short-term trend, knowing your actual number - not last year's government estimate - is the difference between pricing right and leaving money on the table. Check your HonestDoor Price before you make any move.

The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

If you're a Guildwood homeowner eyeing a summer sale, here's the straight talk.

For house sellers - the HonestDoor Price is still above $1.17 million and the rental income story gives buyers a compelling reason to pay a premium. But the short-term trend is drifting down, and our growth rank of 14 out of 25 in Scarborough means we're not leading the charge right now. Summer is historically a strong window. Waiting until fall to "see what happens" is a gamble, not a strategy.

For condo sellers - you own the most expensive condo product in the immediate area. That's a real advantage. But a -4.64% recent price shift and a growth rank of 17 out of 25 means the momentum is not your friend right now. If you're serious about selling, pricing sharply and moving quickly this summer makes more sense than holding out for a rebound that the data isn't promising yet.

Bottom line - Guildwood is a genuinely desirable pocket of Scarborough. The fundamentals are there. But this is not a market where you can overprice and wait. Know your number, price it right, and move while summer buyer traffic is real.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.