If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs on Empire Avenue West, here's what's actually happening. The market is split in two - and which side you're on matters a lot for your wallet this summer.
Houses in our neighbourhood are doing the slow and steady thing. The average HonestDoor Price sits at $364,672, which is down a modest 1.97% from the previous period. Think of it as the market taking a breather - not a freefall. The one house that sold recently moved at $350,000, and price per square foot is running around $184.
The forward-looking number is actually more interesting. The predicted market value for houses is $371,992, which is creeping up past the 3-month moving average of $365,347. That's the market quietly building momentum while the headlines stay quiet.
That growth rank is worth talking about. Sitting at 58 out of 90 puts us in the below-average tier on the St. John's neighbourhood leaderboard for growth. We're not at the bottom, but we're not climbing the charts either. The good news - our price rank is 1 out of 3 compared to nearby neighbourhoods, meaning we're holding our own on value against Kenmount Park North and Bellevue Crescent.
Condos here are a different story - and honestly, a more complicated one. The average HonestDoor Price jumped 21.54% to $180,497. That sounds like a party. But the predicted market value is $148,507, which is actually down 18.11% recently and sitting below the 3-month moving average of $179,946. Those two numbers pulling in opposite directions is a signal to pay close attention before making any moves.
The condo growth rank of 30 out of 94 is actually a bright spot. That puts Empire Avenue West condos in the above-average tier on the St. John's leaderboard. Compared to nearby neighbourhoods like Kenmount Park North ($412,100) and Bellevue Crescent ($464,800), our condos are priced significantly lower - which cuts both ways. Cheaper to get in, but a gap that tells you something about demand.
Here's the thing about your city assessment - it's a snapshot from the past. It doesn't know what happened on your street last month. The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time, pulling in actual sales data and market signals as they happen. For houses in Empire Avenue West, that means the difference between a stale government number and a live reading of $364,672 - or a predicted value pushing toward $371,992.
If you're a condo owner, this gap matters even more right now. The HonestDoor Price and the predicted value are telling slightly different stories, and your tax assessment is almost certainly not keeping up with either. Checking your HonestDoor Price today gives you the real-world number - not the one the city got around to calculating a year ago.
For house owners, the window is interesting. The predicted value is trending above the recent moving average, rental demand is real at $1,901 a month, and a 5.86% yield means buyers who want income properties are paying attention to our street. You're not in a hot seller's market, but you're not in a soft one either. Pricing sharp and moving before fall is a reasonable play.
For condo owners, be careful with the headline number. That 21.54% HonestDoor Price jump looks great on paper, but the predicted value trend is moving the other way. If you're thinking about selling, get your HonestDoor Price pulled up today and have an honest conversation about where the market is actually heading - not where it was three months ago.
Bottom line for Empire Avenue West: houses are quiet but not weak, condos are sending mixed signals, and the one thing nobody should be doing right now is relying on last year's assessment to make a six-figure decision.
empire avenue west | st. johns | july 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.