Duffins Bay, Ajax - July 2026 Real Estate Report

Duffins Bay, Ajax: Your Home Is Worth More Than the City Thinks

The Vibe Right Now

If you live on a street in Duffins Bay and you have been wondering whether your home value is holding up - it is. The numbers are moving in the right direction, and if you have not checked your HonestDoor Price lately, now is a good time to do it.

Houses: Steady Climb, Real Momentum

The average HonestDoor Price for a house in Duffins Bay sits at $885,761, up 0.87% from the previous period. The predicted market value is $878,101, and here is the part worth paying attention to - that number is climbing above the 3-month moving average of $868,184. That upward trend is not noise. It is a signal.

Property values for houses have moved 3.65% recently, and on the Ajax neighbourhood leaderboard, Duffins Bay houses rank 4th out of 12 for growth. That puts us firmly in above-average territory. We are not leading the pack, but we are ahead of more than half the city.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $885,761
• Predicted Market Value: $878,101
• 3-Month Moving Average: $868,184 (and we are above it)
• Recent Value Change: +3.65%
• Growth Rank in Ajax: 4 out of 12
• Average Rental Estimate: $3,871 per month
• Rental Yield: 4.92%
• Airbnb Estimate: $192 per night
• Airbnb Rank in Ajax: 8

For context, our closest neighbours tell an interesting story. Discovery Bay houses average $1,019,119 - noticeably pricier. Clover Ridge comes in at $825,380 and Southwood at $785,275. Duffins Bay sits in a sweet spot - more affordable than Discovery Bay, but with stronger momentum than the cheaper options nearby.

Condos: Taking a Breather

The condo picture is a bit different, and we should be straight about it. The average HonestDoor Price for a Duffins Bay condo is $502,240, up a modest 0.32% from the previous period. But the predicted market value of $500,644 is sitting just below the 3-month moving average of $503,058. Condo values have dipped 1.53% recently. That is not a crash - it is a breather.

On the Ajax condo leaderboard, we rank 6th out of 12. Still above average, but the momentum is softer than on the house side. If you own a condo here, you are in better shape than Discovery Bay condos at $477,822 and cheaper than Clover Ridge at $538,044. Middle of the road, but not falling off a cliff.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $502,240
• Predicted Market Value: $500,644
• 3-Month Moving Average: $503,058 (slightly below)
• Recent Value Change: -1.53%
• Growth Rank in Ajax: 6 out of 12
• Average Rental Estimate: $2,537 per month
• Rental Yield: 3.84%
• Airbnb Estimate: $126 per night
• Airbnb Rank in Ajax: 8

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here is the thing about your city assessment - it is a snapshot from the past. The city looks at sale data from a fixed point in time and applies it broadly. It does not know that house prices in Duffins Bay have moved 3.65% recently. It does not account for what buyers are actually paying on your street right now.

The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time. It is pulling from current market activity, not a government spreadsheet that was locked in months or years ago. For a Duffins Bay house owner, the difference between an outdated assessment and a current HonestDoor Price could be tens of thousands of dollars. That gap matters if you are refinancing, selling, or just trying to understand what you actually own.

Think of the HonestDoor Price as the real-world check. It is what a buyer would likely offer today - not what the city decided your home was worth back then.

So What Does This Mean If You Are Thinking About Selling This Summer?

For house owners in Duffins Bay - the timing is not bad. Values are above the 3-month trend, growth ranks us 4th in Ajax, and rental demand is strong at $3,871 per month. Buyers who cannot afford Discovery Bay are looking at neighbourhoods exactly like ours. That is real demand, and it supports your asking price.

For condo owners - be realistic but not pessimistic. The recent dip of 1.53% means pricing strategy matters more right now. You are not in a race to the bottom, but you are also not in a position to push well above market and expect multiple offers. Price it right from day one and you will find a buyer.

Either way, the first step is the same. Check your HonestDoor Price today. Know your real number before you call an agent, before you set expectations, and before you leave money on the table by relying on a tax assessment that is already out of date.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.