Dufferin, Winnipeg - September 2026 Real Estate Report

Dufferin, Winnipeg: Affordable Entry Point, Surprisingly Strong Returns

The Vibe Right Now

If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs on your street, here's what's actually happening. Dufferin is one of Winnipeg's most affordable pockets - and that's not a knock. It's a feature. Houses here are selling, rents are holding steady, and the numbers tell a more interesting story than the price tags suggest.

Houses - The Real Story

We're sitting in a stable buyers' market for houses right now. That means if you're selling, you need to price smart. The average sale price is $182,050, but listings are going up at $199,900 - and buyers are only paying about 92.5% of list. Do the math: that's roughly a $15,000 gap between what sellers want and what buyers will pay. Homes are moving in about 23 days on average, which is actually pretty solid for this price range.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $167,795 (down 0.79% from last period)
• Average sale price: $182,050
• Current average list price: $199,900
• Sale-to-list ratio: 92.5% - buyers are negotiating
• Average days on market: 23
• Price per square foot: $201
• Predicted market value: $169,607 - up from the 3-month average of $167,818
• Estimated rent: $917/month
• Rental yield: 6.11% - that is genuinely strong
• Airbnb potential: roughly $46/month
• Recent value change: up 0.89%

On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Dufferin houses rank 52 out of 191 for growth in Winnipeg. That puts us in the above-average tier - ahead of more than half the city. Price rank is 179 out of 187, meaning we're among the most affordable anywhere in Winnipeg. Days-on-market rank is 22 out of 71, which means properties here sell faster than most comparable spots. Affordable, growing, and moving - that combination is worth paying attention to.

Compare us to the neighbours: Dufferin Industrial is cheaper at an HonestDoor Price of $133,788. William Whyte is almost identical at $167,799. Logan CPR jumps up to $233,398. We're right in the middle of that range, which makes Dufferin a reasonable entry point before prices in adjacent areas pull ours up.

Condos - A Different Animal

The condo picture in Dufferin is a different conversation entirely. The average HonestDoor Price for condos is $2,377,877 - yes, that number is real. These are not your typical starter condos. Values dipped 1.81% from the previous period, but the predicted market value is $2,421,710, which is already climbing past the 3-month moving average of $2,384,350.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $2,377,877 (down 1.81%)
• Predicted market value: $2,421,710
• 3-month moving average: $2,384,350
• Estimated rent: $7,358/month
• Rental yield: 2.25% - moderate, not a cash-flow play
• Airbnb potential: roughly $366/month
• Airbnb rank in Winnipeg: 40 out of all neighbourhoods - top tier
• Recent value change: up 2.95%

On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Dufferin condos rank 18 out of 175 for growth in Winnipeg. That is a top-performer position. If you own a condo here, that ranking matters. Nearby, Dufferin Industrial condos sit at $2,057,880, William Whyte at $1,218,269, and Logan CPR at $2,747,967. Dufferin condos are holding their own in that company.

The Secret Sauce - Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here's the thing about your city assessment: it's a snapshot from the past. The city looks at sale data from a specific cutoff date and applies it broadly across whole neighbourhoods. It doesn't know your renovated kitchen. It doesn't track what sold on your block last month. It's a blunt instrument.

The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time. It pulls in current sales, current listing activity, and current market signals. For houses in Dufferin, the HonestDoor Price is $167,795 right now - and the predicted value is already trending up to $169,607. That gap between where you are and where you're heading is exactly the kind of intel that helps you decide whether to sell now, wait, or refinance. Don't make a six-figure decision based on a number the city calculated 18 months ago.

So What - Should You Sell This Summer?

If you own a house in Dufferin and you're thinking about selling this summer, here's the honest take. The market is stable but buyers have leverage right now - they're paying about 7.5% below list price on average. That means your listing price needs to be realistic from day one, not aspirational. Price it at $199,900 and expect to land closer to $182,000. Price it at $182,000 and you might move faster with less back-and-forth.

The 6.11% rental yield is a real argument for holding if you don't need the cash. At $917 a month in rent, a house here pays for itself better than most properties in Winnipeg. If you're an investor sitting on one of these, the income case is solid.

For condo owners, the 2.95% recent value increase and that top-18 growth ranking in the city suggest the market is still moving in your favour. The short-term dip of 1.81% is worth watching, but the predicted value climbing above the 3-month average is a good sign. Summer is not a bad time to test the market if you've been on the fence.

Bottom line: Dufferin is not flashy. But affordable, above-average growth, fast-selling houses, and a strong rental yield? That's a neighbourhood doing more than its price tag suggests.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.