Churchill Square, St. John's - September 2026 Real Estate Report

Churchill Square, St. John's: Your Neighbour Just Got a Raise - Did You?

If you own a home or condo in Churchill Square and the last number you checked was your city tax assessment, you are likely looking at stale data. Here is what is actually happening on the ground right now.

The Vibe: What Our Market Is Doing

Churchill Square is holding its own in a city where not every neighbourhood can say the same. Let us break it down by property type, because houses and condos are telling two very different stories right now.

Houses: Steady and Climbing

Our houses are sitting at an average HonestDoor Price of $579,685. That number is not just holding - it is moving in the right direction. The 3-month trend backs this up, with the predicted value rising from a $575,684 moving average to $579,072. That is quiet, consistent momentum.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $579,685
• Recent value change: 3.84%
• Estimated monthly rent: $2,783
• Rental yield: 5.49% - that is a strong return by any measure
• Neighbourhood growth rank: 6 out of 92 in St. John's
• Airbnb rank in St. John's: 2nd

That growth rank is the number to pay attention to. Out of 92 comparable neighbourhoods tracked across St. John's, Churchill Square houses land in the top 7 percent for growth. That is not a participation trophy - that is a leaderboard result. And sitting 2nd in the city for Airbnb potential means short-term rental income is a real option here, not just a pipe dream.

For context, nearby Poplar Avenue comes in slightly higher at $582,156 for houses, while Portugal Cove Road South ($542,417) and Whiteway Street ($393,799) both trail us. We are in good company at the top of that comparison.

Condos: The Underdog Story Worth Watching

The condo side of Churchill Square is where things get interesting. The average HonestDoor Price sits at $265,730, but it has jumped 6.63% from the previous period. The predicted value has climbed from a 3-month average of $232,948 to $249,199. That is real upward movement in a short window.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $265,730
• Recent value change: 7.52%
• Estimated monthly rent: $1,419
• Rental yield: 4.26% - moderate but respectable
• Neighbourhood growth rank: 23 out of 92 in St. John's

A 23rd-place growth rank out of 92 puts our condos in the top quarter of the city. For a property type that often gets overlooked, that is a solid position. If you bought a condo here a few years ago and have not checked your value lately, now is the time.

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Beats Your Tax Assessment

Here is the honest truth about city assessments - they are snapshots taken in the past, often reflecting market conditions from 12 to 18 months ago. By the time that number lands in your mailbox, the market has already moved on.

The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time using actual sales data, market trends, and neighbourhood-level signals. When Churchill Square house values shift 3.84% or condo values jump 7.52%, your HonestDoor Price reflects that now - not next year. That gap between your assessment and your HonestDoor Price? That is the number that matters if you are making any financial decision about your home.

Think of the city assessment as the price tag on a used car lot. The HonestDoor Price is what the car actually sold for last week down the street.

The So What: Thinking About Selling This Summer?

Summer is when buyers are motivated, kids are out of school, and "For Sale" signs actually get attention. Here is what the data says for Churchill Square sellers right now.

• House values are trending up with a top-6 growth rank in the city - you have leverage
• Condo values have moved nearly 7.5% recently - if you have been on the fence, the window is open
• Rental demand is strong, which means buyers who are investors are also circling - more competition for your listing is good for your price
• Airbnb potential ranked 2nd in St. John's for houses adds a selling point that goes beyond the square footage conversation

The bottom line is this - Churchill Square is not just keeping pace with St. John's, it is outrunning most of it. If you are a homeowner here and you have not pulled your HonestDoor Price recently, do it before you call a realtor, before you refinance, and definitely before you assume your tax assessment tells the whole story. It does not.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.