Churchill Square, St. John's - August 2026 Real Estate Report

Churchill Square, St. John's: Your Neighbour Just Asked What Their House Is Worth - Here's the Real Answer

The Vibe Right Now

If you live on a street in Churchill Square and you've been curious about what your place is actually worth, the short answer is: more than you probably think, but the picture is a bit mixed depending on what you own. Let's break it down for us locals.

Houses: Solid Value, But Watch the Trend

The average HonestDoor Price for a house in Churchill Square is $579,072 - up 3.84% from the previous period. That's real money moving in the right direction. But here's the honest part: the predicted market value right now sits at $557,667, and that number is sliding below the 3-month moving average of $580,420. Property values have shifted by -5.53% recently, and on the neighbourhood growth leaderboard, Churchill Square houses rank 88 out of 92 neighbourhoods in St. John's. That puts us near the bottom of the pack for growth momentum.

What does that mean for your wallet? The assessed value on your tax bill is almost certainly stale. The HonestDoor Price is being updated in real time, and right now it's telling a more cautious story than the headline number suggests. The gap between $579,072 and $557,667 is worth paying attention to.

• Average HonestDoor Price (Houses): $579,072
• Recent price change: -5.53%
• 3-month moving average: $580,420
• Predicted market value: $557,667
• Estimated monthly rent: $2,706
• Rental yield: 5.53% - that's a strong return
• Growth rank: 88 out of 92 in St. John's

On the rental side, a 5.53% yield is genuinely strong. If you're an investor or thinking about renting your place out, Churchill Square houses are pulling their weight. Airbnb potential sits at roughly $134 per month - not a game-changer, but it's extra.

Condos: A Different Story

Condo owners in Churchill Square are seeing something more encouraging on the price growth side. The average HonestDoor Price for condos is $248,809, up 7.52% from the previous period. Recent value change clocks in at 6.36%. That's a decent run. The predicted market value is $231,403, sitting almost exactly at the 3-month moving average of $231,557 - so condos here are holding steady rather than sliding.

The growth rank for condos is 70 out of 94 in St. John's. Below average, yes, but a lot better than where the houses sit on that leaderboard. If you own a condo here, you're not leading the pack, but you're not at the back either.

• Average HonestDoor Price (Condos): $248,809
• Recent price change: +6.36%
• 3-month moving average: $231,557
• Predicted market value: $231,403
• Estimated monthly rent: $1,249
• Rental yield: 4.28% - moderate but respectable
• Growth rank: 70 out of 94 in St. John's

The Secret Sauce - Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here's the thing about government assessments: they're snapshots from the past. By the time that number lands in your mailbox, the market has already moved. The HonestDoor Price is a live estimate - it's recalculating as sales happen, as trends shift, as the data changes. Right now, for Churchill Square house owners, the HonestDoor Price and the predicted market value are telling slightly different stories, and that gap is exactly the kind of thing you need to know before you make any decisions. Don't let a stale assessment be the number you anchor to.

Compared to nearby neighbourhoods, Poplar Avenue houses are priced at $584,450 - just a touch above us. Whiteway Street and Portugal Cove Road South both come in cheaper. For condos, almost every nearby neighbourhood is priced higher than Churchill Square, which tells you our condo market is still an entry point relative to the area.

The So What - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

If you're a house owner in Churchill Square and you're eyeing a summer sale, the timing question is real. The HonestDoor Price is still sitting near $579,000, but the predicted value and the recent -5.53% shift suggest the market is taking a breather. Waiting to see if values bounce back is a gamble. Getting a current HonestDoor Price on your specific property right now gives you the clearest picture of where you actually stand - not where you stood six months ago.

For condo owners, the 7.52% increase in HonestDoor Price is a genuine tailwind. If you've been sitting on the fence, this summer could be a reasonable window. Just know that at a growth rank of 70 out of 94, you're not in a neighbourhood that's leading the charge - you're riding a modest wave, not a surge.

Bottom line: Churchill Square is a neighbourhood where the numbers reward the people who look closely. Check your HonestDoor Price, compare it to what your city assessment says, and you'll immediately see why one of those numbers is actually useful right now.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.