Churchill Meadows, Mississauga - July 2026 Real Estate Report

Churchill Meadows, Mississauga: Your Neighbour Just Asked "Should I Sell This Summer?" - Here's the Real Answer

The Vibe Right Now

If you live in Churchill Meadows and you've been watching the "For Sale" signs, here's what's actually happening. The market is taking a breather on the house side, but condos are quietly doing something interesting. Let's break it down for us locals.

Houses: Steady, But Buyers Are Holding the Cards

The average sale price for a house here is sitting at $1,630,000, essentially unchanged from last month. Sounds solid, right? But dig a little deeper and the story gets more nuanced. Homes are selling at 95.88% of list price - meaning sellers are giving up roughly $70,000 from their asking price on average. That's not a disaster, but it's not a seller's paradise either.

The bigger signal is days on market. Houses are sitting for an average of 62 days before selling. Churchill Meadows ranks 10 out of 11 neighbourhoods in Mississauga for how fast homes move. That's a slow burn. Buyers know it, and they're negotiating accordingly.

• Average sale price: $1,630,000
• Average list price this month: $1,699,999
• Sale-to-list ratio: 95.88% (buyers are paying below ask)
• Average days on market: 62 days
• Price per square foot: $362
• Rental estimate: $4,655 per month
• Rental yield: 4.43%
• Speed rank in Mississauga: 10 out of 11 (slow-selling)
• Price rank in Mississauga: 4 out of 14 (above average in price)
• Growth rank in Mississauga: 19 out of 33 (below average)

One more thing worth noting - only 1 house sold last month. That's a thin data set. Don't read too much into any single number here. The trend matters more than the snapshot.

Condos: The Quiet Overachiever

Here's where it gets interesting for us condo owners. Churchill Meadows condos rank 6 out of 33 comparable neighbourhoods in Mississauga for growth. That puts condos in the top performers category while houses are sitting in below-average growth territory. Same postal code, very different stories.

The average HonestDoor Price for a condo is $618,540, up a small but real 0.05% from the previous period. The 3-month moving average is $605,463, and the predicted value is now $618,224 - meaning the trend line is pointing up. Property values have moved 2.03% recently. For a condo market, that's a decent clip.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $618,540 (up 0.05%)
• Predicted market value: $618,224
• 3-month moving average: $605,463 (values are climbing)
• Recent value change: 2.03%
• Rental estimate: $2,995 per month
• Rental yield: 3.61%
• Airbnb estimate: $149 per night
• Growth rank in Mississauga: 6 out of 33 (top performer)

Compare that to nearby neighbourhoods - Erin Mills condos are averaging $671,621 and Lisgar is at $660,114. Churchill Meadows condos are priced below both, which means there's still room to run if the broader market cooperates.

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment Right Now

Here's the thing most Churchill Meadows homeowners don't realize. Your city tax assessment is a snapshot frozen in time. It gets updated on a schedule that has nothing to do with what's actually happening on your street this month. The HonestDoor Price is a real-world check - it's recalculated continuously using current sales data, market trends, and comparable properties.

For houses, the HonestDoor Price is $1,163,427 - down 1.26% from the previous period. Your city assessment almost certainly doesn't reflect that recent dip. If you're making any financial decision - refinancing, selling, even just understanding your net worth - the HonestDoor Price is the number that actually reflects today's market, not last year's.

For condo owners, the HonestDoor Price of $618,540 is ticking upward. If your assessment was done during a slower period, you could be sitting on more equity than you think. Check it. It's free and it's current.

So What? - The Summer Selling Question

If you're a house owner thinking about listing this summer, be honest with yourself about the timeline. Sixty-two days on market is not a quick flip. Price it right from day one - the data shows buyers are not paying full ask in this neighbourhood. Coming in too high and chasing the market down is the worst move you can make when days-on-market are already working against you.

The good news - Churchill Meadows houses rank 4 out of 14 in Mississauga for price. You're in an above-average price tier. That means your buyer pool is smaller but your asset is worth protecting. A sharp list price beats a wishful one every time in this kind of market.

If you own a condo, the calculus is different. You're in a top-6 growth neighbourhood right now. Values are climbing off a 3-month base. If you're not in a rush, holding a little longer while that momentum builds is a reasonable play. If you do sell, you're entering a market where Churchill Meadows condos are still priced below Erin Mills and Lisgar - that's a genuine selling point for buyers looking for relative value in the area.

Either way - house or condo - pull your HonestDoor Price before you call an agent. Know your number before anyone else does.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.