Centennial, Oshawa - July 2026 Real Estate Report

Centennial, Oshawa: Your Home Is Worth More Than the City Thinks

The Vibe Right Now

If you own a place in Centennial and you haven't checked your actual market value lately, you're probably leaving money on the table. The city's assessment is a snapshot from the past. The HonestDoor Price is what's happening right now - and the two numbers are not the same.

Here's the honest breakdown of where we stand, split by property type.

Houses in Centennial

The average HonestDoor Price for a house here sits at $794,670. It's down a tiny 0.14% from last period - basically flat. Think of it as the market taking a breather, not falling off a cliff. The 3-month moving average is $794,866, and the predicted value is nudging up to $795,764. That's a market that's holding its ground.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $794,670
• Predicted Market Value: $795,764
• 3-Month Moving Average: $794,866
• Recent Value Change: -0.78%
• Average Rental Estimate: $3,598 per month
• Rental Yield: 5.07% - that's a strong return
• Airbnb Estimate: $179 per night
• Growth Rank: 15 out of 20 neighbourhoods in Oshawa

That growth rank is worth a straight-up conversation. On the Oshawa neighbourhood leaderboard, our houses are sitting in the bottom half at 15 out of 20. That's not a crisis - but it does mean buyers have options nearby, and sellers need to price sharp. For context, Northglen houses are averaging $934,842, while Samac ($791,240) and O'Neill ($675,703) are both cheaper than us. We're in the middle of the pack, which is actually a decent place to be for buyers who got priced out of Northglen.

Condos in Centennial

This is where the story gets more interesting. Condos here are up 2.23% from last period, with an average HonestDoor Price of $512,159. The predicted value is $501,001, and the 3-month moving average has jumped from $474,093 - that's real upward momentum, not noise.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $512,159
• Predicted Market Value: $501,001
• 3-Month Moving Average: $474,093
• Recent Value Change: +1.83%
• Average Rental Estimate: $2,561 per month
• Rental Yield: 3.84% - moderate but steady
• Airbnb Estimate: $127 per night
• Growth Rank: 6 out of 19 neighbourhoods in Oshawa

On the condo leaderboard, we're ranking 6 out of 19 - that puts Centennial condos in the top third of Oshawa. And we're beating the neighbours: Samac condos average $429,890, O'Neill sits at $450,645, and Northglen is at $418,320. If you own a condo here, you're in a stronger position than most people on your street probably realize.

The Secret Sauce - Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here's the thing about your city assessment: it's old. It's a number calculated from past sales data, often lagging by a year or more. It does not reflect what a buyer would actually pay for your home today.

The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time using current market activity. For a Centennial house owner, that's the difference between thinking your home is worth one number and finding out it's worth $794,670 - or higher. For condo owners watching values climb 2.23% in a single period, that gap between the city's number and reality is growing fast.

Your HonestDoor Price is the real-world check. Use it before you make any decision about selling, refinancing, or even just understanding what you actually own.

The So What - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

For house sellers, the market is steady but not explosive. A -0.78% recent change and a growth rank of 15 out of 20 means you can't just stick a sign in the yard and expect a bidding war. Price it right from day one. Buyers in Centennial know they can look at Samac for slightly less or O'Neill for significantly less. Your edge is the neighbourhood itself - lean into it.

For condo sellers, the timing looks better. Values are trending up, the 3-month average is climbing, and we're outranking most nearby neighbourhoods. If you've been sitting on the fence, this summer is a reasonable window to act before that momentum shifts.

Either way, the first step is the same - check your HonestDoor Price today. Not last year's assessment. Not a neighbour's guess. The actual number, right now. That's the only starting point that makes sense.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.