Ashburn, Whitby - August 2026 Real Estate Report

Ashburn, Whitby: Prices Are Sliding - Here Is What Your Home Is Actually Worth Right Now

If you live in Ashburn and you have been quietly wondering whether the market is still holding up, here is the straight answer: it is taking a breather. Values are down across the board, and the gap between what the city thinks your home is worth and what a buyer would actually pay is getting wider. That matters - a lot - if you are thinking about making a move this summer.

The Vibe: Houses vs. Condos in Ashburn

Let us break down what is happening for us here in the neighbourhood, depending on what you own.

Houses

If you own a house in Ashburn, the average HonestDoor Price is sitting at $1,808,333. That is down 6.75% from the previous period - not a cliff drop, but a real and noticeable slide. The predicted market value comes in at $1,939,305, though that number is also trending downward from a 3-month moving average of $1,970,560. In plain terms, the trajectory is pointing south right now.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $1,808,333 (down 6.75%)
• Predicted Market Value: $1,939,305
• 3-Month Moving Average: $1,970,560
• Recent Value Change: -4.09%
• Average Rental Estimate: $6,311 per month
• Rental Yield: 3.73% - moderate but steady
• Airbnb Estimate: $314 per night (ranked 3rd in Whitby - that is actually a strong short-term rental position)
• Growth Rank: 10 out of 11 neighbourhoods in Whitby

That growth rank is the number to pay attention to. On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Ashburn houses are sitting near the bottom - 10th out of 11. We are not last, but we are close. Nearby Myrtle comes in at $1,507,402 and Dagmar at $1,766,251, so Ashburn still commands a price premium over its neighbours. The question is how long that gap holds if the downward trend continues.

Condos

The condo picture is similar. The average HonestDoor Price for a condo in Ashburn is $507,950, down 3.42%. The predicted market value is $525,950, slipping from a 3-month moving average of $534,750. Values have shifted by -4.55% recently.

• Average HonestDoor Price: $507,950 (down 3.42%)
• Predicted Market Value: $525,950
• 3-Month Moving Average: $534,750
• Recent Value Change: -4.55%
• Average Rental Estimate: $2,570 per month
• Rental Yield: 3.80% - moderate
• Airbnb Estimate: $130 per night (ranked 6th in Whitby)
• Growth Rank: 9 out of 9 neighbourhoods in Whitby

For condos, that leaderboard ranking is blunt: dead last in Whitby. Nearby Myrtle Station is predicted at $592,050 and Dagmar at $601,800 - both sitting meaningfully higher than Ashburn condos right now. If you own a condo here, that context is worth knowing before you price anything.

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment Right Now

Here is the thing about your city assessment - it is a snapshot frozen in time. The Municipal Property Assessment Corporation updates values on a cycle that can lag the real market by years. When prices are rising, that lag works against buyers. When prices are falling, it can give sellers a false sense of security.

The HonestDoor Price is a real-world check. It pulls from current sales data and updates continuously, so it reflects what is actually happening on the street - not what was happening two or three years ago. Right now in Ashburn, the HonestDoor Price for houses is $1,808,333 and for condos it is $507,950. Those numbers are moving. Your tax assessment is not. If you are making any financial decision based on your property - whether that is refinancing, listing, or just knowing where you stand - the HonestDoor Price is the number to anchor to.

The So What: Should You Sell in Ashburn This Summer?

If you are thinking about listing this summer, here is the honest take.

For house owners, you still hold a price advantage over most nearby neighbourhoods. A buyer who wants Ashburn is not going to find the same product in Myrtle for the same money. But with a growth rank of 10 out of 11 and values trending down, waiting for prices to bounce back is a gamble. The market is not in freefall - but it is not recovering quickly either.

For condo owners, the picture is tougher. Sitting last on the Whitby condo leaderboard means buyers have options that are priced higher but trending better. Pricing sharply and marketing the rental yield story - $2,570 per month with a 3.80% return - is probably your strongest angle right now.

The short-term rental upside is real for both property types. An Airbnb rank of 3rd in Whitby for houses is genuinely strong. If you are not selling, that income potential at $314 per night is worth exploring while you wait for the market to find its footing.

Bottom line: do not price off your old assessment. Pull your HonestDoor Price, know where you actually stand, and make the call from there.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.