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      White Rock, White Rock - October 2026 Real Estate Report

      2026-10-16 00:00 · Your HonestDoor Team

      White Rock, White Rock

      White Rock Real Estate Right Now: What Your Neighbour Hasn't Told You Yet

      If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs along the bluffs and wondering what's actually going on with prices in White Rock, here's the straight story. The market is taking a breather - but the numbers are more interesting than a simple "up or down" headline.

      The Vibe: Houses vs. Condos in White Rock

      Let's break down what's happening for us locally, because houses and condos are telling two different stories right now.

      Houses

      If you own a house in White Rock, your home is worth more than the city thinks. The average HonestDoor Price sits at $1,898,957 - that's 9.14% above the average assessed value of $1,739,945. The city's number is already stale the moment it's printed. The real-world check says you're sitting on significantly more equity than your tax notice suggests.

      • Average HonestDoor Price: $1,898,957
      • Average Assessed Value: $1,739,945
      • HonestDoor Price vs. Assessment: +9.14%
      • Recent price change: -1.46%
      • Predicted market value: $1,927,034
      • 3-month moving average: $1,938,466 (values are easing slightly)
      • Average sale price (2026): $1,720,000
      • Price per square foot: $377
      • Estimated monthly rent: $6,581
      • Rental yield: 3.87%
      • Airbnb potential: $327 per night
      • Transactions in 2026: 14

      We're not in a freefall - but the 3-month moving average of $1,938,466 is nudging downward from the predicted value of $1,927,034. That's a market taking a breath, not a market in trouble. With only 14 house transactions recorded in 2026 so far, inventory is tight and every sale carries real weight on the numbers.

      Condos

      The condo story in White Rock is where things get really interesting for us. The gap between what the city assessed your unit at and what it's actually worth on the open market is massive. The average HonestDoor Price of $825,055 is 18.80% higher than the average assessed value of $694,477. That's not a rounding error - that's a significant chunk of equity that a tax notice completely misses.

      • Average HonestDoor Price: $825,055
      • Average Assessed Value: $694,477
      • HonestDoor Price vs. Assessment: +18.80%
      • Recent price change: -0.67%
      • Predicted market value: $830,582
      • 3-month moving average: $840,088 (softening slightly)
      • Average sale price (2026): $399,000 (down 35.8% from last month)
      • Price per square foot: $375
      • Estimated monthly rent: $3,435
      • Rental yield: 3.46%
      • Airbnb potential: $171 per night
      • Transactions in 2026: 77

      That 35.8% drop in average condo sale price month-over-month sounds alarming, but context matters. Only 2 condos sold this month. Two sales can swing an average wildly. The HonestDoor Price - which draws on a much broader data pool - tells a far more stable story at $825,055. Don't let a two-sale month spook you.

      The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Assessment Right Now

      Here's the thing about government assessments in White Rock - they are a snapshot from the past. By the time that notice hits your mailbox, the market has already moved. For houses, we're talking about a $159,012 gap between the assessed value and the HonestDoor Price. For condos, that gap is $130,578. That's real money sitting in your walls that a static government number isn't capturing.

      The HonestDoor Price updates in real time. It pulls from actual transaction data, current market signals, and comparable sales - not a once-a-year government exercise. If you're making any financial decision tied to your home's value - refinancing, selling, estate planning - the HonestDoor Price is the number you want in your hand, not the one on your tax notice.

      White Rock also holds the top Airbnb rank in the region, sitting at number 1. At $323 per night for houses and $169 per night for condos, the short-term rental potential here is real. That's an income layer most assessed values don't even try to account for.

      The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

      If you're weighing a summer sale in White Rock, here's the honest read on where we stand.

      The market is not collapsing - it's cooling. Neighbourhood growth is down 0.08% year over year, and the predicted values for both houses and condos are sitting just below their 3-month moving averages. That means the peak of this particular run may be just behind us. Waiting another six months to see if prices bounce back is a gamble.

      For house sellers, you're sitting at a predicted value of $1,927,034 with a real-world rental backstop of $6,581 per month if you need flexibility. The buyer pool for a $1.9M home is specific, and with only 14 house transactions in 2026 so far, your listing won't get lost in a crowd - but it also won't sell itself. Pricing sharp against the HonestDoor Price, not the assessed value, is the move.

      For condo sellers, 77 transactions in 2026 tells us there is genuine buyer activity in this segment. The 18.80% gap between assessed value and HonestDoor Price means buyers doing their homework will see the value - and so should you when you set your ask. Don't undersell based on a stale government number.

      Compared to nearby neighbourhoods, South Surrey is running hotter at an average HonestDoor Price of $2,222,329 for houses. Sunnyside and Ocean Park are both cheaper alternatives for buyers who get priced out of White Rock. That price gap keeps working in your favour as a seller - White Rock has a premium that the data backs up.

      Bottom line: the window for a strong summer sale is open, but it is not getting wider. Check your HonestDoor Price, know what you actually own, and make the call with real numbers - not last year's assessment.

      white rock | white rock | october 2026

      This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.

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      REALTOR®, REALTORS®, and the REALTOR® logo are certification marks that are owned by REALTOR® Canada Inc. and licensed exclusively to The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). These certification marks identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA and who must abide by CREA's By-Laws, Rules, and the REALTOR® Code. The MLS® trademark and the MLS® logo are owned by CREA and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. Copyright 2026 by the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. All Rights Reserved.

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