Tilbury, Delta - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Tilbury, Delta Real Estate Update: Steady Ground in a Shifting Market
The Vibe Right Now
If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs in Tilbury lately, here's what's actually happening. The market isn't crashing, but it's not sprinting either. Think of it as a market catching its breath - which, depending on your situation, is either a warning or an opportunity.
Houses: Holding Firm With a Slight Dip
Our average HonestDoor Price for houses in Tilbury sits at $1,041,285 - down about 1.95% from the previous period. That's not a freefall, but it's worth paying attention to. The forward-looking predicted value comes in at $1,061,998, which is actually trending up from the 3-month moving average of $1,043,883. So the short-term dip may already be correcting itself.
- Average HonestDoor Price: $1,041,285 (down 1.95%)
- Predicted Market Value: $1,061,998
- 3-Month Moving Average: $1,043,883
- Average Rental Estimate: $4,161 per month
- Rental Yield: 4.88% - solid for this price range
- Airbnb Potential: $206 per night
- Growth Rank: 9 out of 13 neighbourhoods in Delta
That growth rank of 9 out of 13 puts us in the lower half of the Delta neighbourhood leaderboard right now. We're not last, but we're not leading the pack. For context, if Tilbury were a hockey team, we'd be sitting just outside the playoff line. Not out - but we need a few more wins.
On the rental side, $4,161 a month with a 4.88% yield is genuinely decent. If you own a house here and have been thinking about renting it out, the numbers actually work in your favour compared to a lot of Metro Vancouver options.
Condos: A Different Story - And a Surprising One
Here's where it gets interesting. Condos in Tilbury are up 4.74% from the previous period, with an average HonestDoor Price of $900,979. That's a meaningful jump. The catch? The predicted value of $860,184 is sitting below the 3-month moving average of $877,179, and the recent change is showing -2.71%. So we may be watching a peak cool off in real time.
- Average HonestDoor Price: $900,979 (up 4.74%)
- Predicted Market Value: $860,184
- 3-Month Moving Average: $877,179
- Average Rental Estimate: $3,966 per month
- Rental Yield: 3.12%
- Airbnb Potential: $197 per night
- Airbnb Rank in Delta: 5th out of 13 - top half
- Growth Rank: 9 out of 13 neighbourhoods in Delta
The Airbnb rank of 5th in Delta is genuinely worth noting for condo owners. If short-term rental rules in your building allow it, Tilbury condos punch above their weight on that front compared to most of the city.
Compared to nearby condos in Fraser Lands, Sunbury, and East Richmond, Tilbury condos are actually the priciest of the group. That's a flip from the house comparison, where Fraser Lands blows us out of the water at over $2 million average.
The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment Right Now
Here's the thing about your BC Assessment notice - it's a snapshot from July 1st of the previous year. By the time it lands in your mailbox, the market has already moved. In a neighbourhood like Tilbury where condo values jumped nearly 5% in one period and house values are shifting month to month, that government number is already out of date before you finish reading it.
The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time using actual sales data and market signals. It's the difference between checking yesterday's weather forecast and stepping outside to see what it's actually doing. If you're making any financial decision - refinancing, selling, buying out a partner - use the number that reflects today, not last summer.
Right now, the gap between the static assessment and the HonestDoor Price could mean tens of thousands of dollars in either direction. That's not a small rounding error. That's a real-world check you can't afford to skip.
The So What - Should You Sell This Summer?
If you own a house in Tilbury and you've been sitting on the fence, here's the honest take. The predicted value is trending upward from the moving average, which suggests the recent dip may be short-lived. But with a growth rank of 9 out of 13 in Delta, Tilbury isn't the hottest address on the leaderboard right now. Buyers know that too.
Selling this summer is still a reasonable move - especially if your personal situation calls for it. A house priced around $1,041,285 with $4,161 in monthly rental potential is an attractive package for investors and families alike. You just need to price it sharp. Overpricing in a 9th-ranked growth neighbourhood is the fastest way to sit on the market through August.
For condo owners, the timing question is trickier. Values spiked recently, but the predicted value is pulling back below the moving average. If you've been thinking about cashing out, the window may be tighter than it looks. Getting your HonestDoor Price today - not next month - gives you the clearest read on where you actually stand.
Bottom line: Tilbury is a stable, affordable-by-Metro-Vancouver-standards neighbourhood with real rental upside. It's not setting the Delta market on fire right now, but it's not falling apart either. Know your number, price it right, and move with the data - not your gut.
tilbury | delta | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.