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      St-Francois-La Baie, Gatineau - October 2026 Real Estate Report

      2026-10-16 00:00 · Your HonestDoor Team

      Gatineau, St-Francois-La Baie

      St-Francois-La Baie, Gatineau: Your Home Is Worth More Than the City Thinks

      The Vibe Right Now

      If you own property in St-Francois-La Baie, the story depends entirely on what type of property you have. Houses and condos are telling two very different stories this season - and one of them is a really good one.

      Houses: Steady, Not Spectacular

      Let's be straight with you. The house market here is taking a breather. The average HonestDoor Price for a house sits at $573,757, down a modest 0.70% from last period. That is not a crash - it is a pause. The predicted value is actually nudging upward to $577,806, which is above the 3-month moving average of $573,409. So the trend is pointing in the right direction.

      On the neighbourhood leaderboard, our houses rank 26 out of 41 comparable Gatineau neighbourhoods for growth. Below average, yes - but we are not at the bottom, and the predicted value is already climbing past nearby St-Rosaire, which sits at $529,713. We have a price advantage over the competition without sacrificing the neighbourhood quality.

      • Average HonestDoor Price (Houses): $573,757
      • Predicted Market Value: $577,806
      • 3-Month Moving Average: $573,409
      • Recent Price Change: +1.20%
      • Average Rental Estimate: $2,626 per month
      • Rental Yield: 5.57% - that is a strong return
      • Airbnb Estimate: $130 per night (ranked 18th in Gatineau)
      • Growth Rank: 26 out of 41 in Gatineau

      Condos: The Real Story of the Season

      Here is where it gets interesting. Condo owners in St-Francois-La Baie, pay attention. Our condos rank 1st out of 35 comparable Gatineau neighbourhoods for growth. First. That is not a typo.

      The predicted market value for condos has jumped to $397,900, up sharply from a 3-month moving average of $364,300. That is a 34.70% recent change in property values. The average HonestDoor Price shows $295,000, which reflects a dip from the previous period - but the forward-looking predicted value tells a much more optimistic story. The gap between those two numbers is exactly why you need to check your HonestDoor Price today, not next year.

      • Average HonestDoor Price (Condos): $295,000
      • Predicted Market Value: $397,900
      • 3-Month Moving Average: $364,300
      • Recent Price Change: +34.70%
      • Average Rental Estimate: $1,590 per month
      • Rental Yield: 4.02% - moderate but solid
      • Airbnb Estimate: $80 per night (ranked 19th in Gatineau)
      • Growth Rank: 1 out of 35 in Gatineau - top of the leaderboard

      The Secret Sauce: Why Your Tax Assessment Is Lying to You

      The city's property assessment is a snapshot from the past. It does not update in real time. It does not know what happened in the market last month. For condo owners especially, that gap between the old assessment number and the current HonestDoor Price could be tens of thousands of dollars - money you are leaving on the table if you price based on stale data.

      The HonestDoor Price is the real-world check. It pulls from actual market activity and updates continuously. When our condos are showing a predicted value of $397,900 against a 3-month average of $364,300, that momentum matters. A government assessment will not capture that. HonestDoor does.

      For house owners, the same logic applies. Your assessment might be anchored to older numbers while the predicted value is already trending upward. Do not negotiate against yourself by using outdated figures.

      The So What - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

      If you own a condo in St-Francois-La Baie, this summer could be your moment. Ranking first in Gatineau for condo growth is a real competitive edge. Buyers looking at Moreau-Le Coteau condos at $269,227 or stretching for Rockcliffe Park at $560,295 will find us sitting in a compelling middle ground - and the momentum is on our side.

      If you own a house, the market is not on fire right now, but it is not broken either. A 5.57% rental yield means the numbers work for investors too, which expands your buyer pool. Pricing it right - using the HonestDoor Price, not the tax assessment - is the difference between a quick sale and a listing that sits.

      Either way, the move is the same. Check your HonestDoor Price now, understand where you actually stand, and go into any conversation with a buyer or agent with real numbers in your hand. That is how neighbours in St-Francois-La Baie win this summer.

      st-francois-la baie | gatineau | october 2026

      This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.

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