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      Osgoode - Vernon, Ottawa - October 2026 Real Estate Report

      2026-10-16 00:00 · Your HonestDoor Team

      Ottawa, Osgoode - Vernon

      Osgoode - Vernon Real Talk: Houses Are Holding Strong, But Condos Are Telling a Different Story

      The Vibe Right Now

      If you live in Osgoode - Vernon and you haven't checked your home's value lately, now is the time. The market here is not one-size-fits-all. Houses and condos are moving in completely opposite directions, and knowing which side of that split you're on could change what you do next.

      Houses: Quietly Climbing the Leaderboard

      Here's the honest picture for house owners in our neighbourhood. The average HonestDoor Price sits at $804,626, up 1.13% from the previous period. The predicted market value is $795,636, and that number is rising - it's already up from a 3-month moving average of $774,845. That's real momentum, not noise.

      The growth rank? We're sitting at 11 out of 99 comparable neighbourhoods in Ottawa. That puts Osgoode - Vernon houses in the top tier of performers across the city. Not bad for a neighbourhood that doesn't always make the headlines.

      • Average HonestDoor Price: $804,626
      • Recent price change: up 4.62%
      • Predicted market value: $795,636
      • 3-month moving average: $774,845 (and we're above it)
      • Estimated monthly rent: $3,596
      • Rental yield: 5.07% - that's a strong return
      • Growth rank: 11 out of 99 in Ottawa

      For context, nearby Greely averages $1,136,710 and Manotick sits at $1,197,569. We're priced below those neighbours, which means there's still room to run. Metcalfe is closer at $1,007,478 - still higher than us. If you own a house here, you're in a good spot.

      Condos: Taking a Breather (And You Should Pay Attention)

      The condo side of Osgoode - Vernon is a different conversation. The average HonestDoor Price is $381,915, down 6.94% from the previous period. The predicted market value is $410,410, but it's sliding - the 3-month moving average is $424,280, and we're below it. The recent price change is -7.54%. The growth rank here is 89 out of 104 neighbourhoods. That puts condos near the bottom of the Ottawa leaderboard right now.

      • Average HonestDoor Price: $381,915
      • Recent price change: down 7.54%
      • Predicted market value: $410,410
      • 3-month moving average: $424,280 (and we're below it)
      • Estimated monthly rent: $2,132
      • Rental yield: 4.00% - moderate, not spectacular
      • Growth rank: 89 out of 104 in Ottawa

      Nearby Manotick condos average $364,710 and Greely comes in at $291,041, so Osgoode - Vernon condos are still priced above those two. But the trend line is pointing down, and that matters if you're thinking about timing a sale.

      The Secret Sauce: Your HonestDoor Price vs. Your Tax Assessment

      Here's something most homeowners don't think about until it's too late. Your city tax assessment is a snapshot from the past. It doesn't know what happened to your street last month or what buyers are actually paying right now. The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time, pulling from current market activity. It's the difference between a map from three years ago and the live GPS on your phone.

      For house owners in Osgoode - Vernon, that gap matters. If your assessment is lagging behind a 4.62% price increase, you could be leaving money on the table in a sale negotiation - or simply not knowing what you actually own. Check your HonestDoor Price now, not when you're already in the middle of a deal.

      The So What - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

      If you own a house in Osgoode - Vernon, this summer is worth taking seriously. We're ranked 11 out of 99 in Ottawa for growth. Values are above the 3-month trend. Buyers looking at Manotick and Greely prices may well land here instead - and that's good for us. A rental yield of 5.07% also means investors are paying attention to this area. That's extra demand in your corner.

      If you own a condo, the honest advice is to watch the next 60 days carefully. Values have dropped 7.54% recently and the trend is still moving down. That doesn't mean panic - but it does mean waiting for a rebound without a plan is a risk. Know your current HonestDoor Price, understand where you stand against Manotick and Greely comps, and talk to someone who knows this specific market before you decide to sit tight.

      Bottom line - Osgoode - Vernon is not one market right now. It's two. Know which one you're in.

      osgoode - vernon | ottawa | october 2026

      This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.

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