Orchard, Burlington - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Orchard, Burlington: Your Home Is Worth More Than the City Thinks - Here's the Proof
The Vibe Right Now
If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs on Orchard's streets, here's what's actually happening. The market is holding steady for houses, but condos are taking a real breather. These two property types are telling very different stories right now, and which one you own matters a lot for what you do next.
Houses - Still a Seller's Game
We're in solid territory here. The average sale price for a house in Orchard sits at $1,280,000, and homes are selling for 100.39% of list price. That means buyers are paying above asking. Not a frenzy, but not a buyer's market either. Homes are moving in an average of 15 days, which is quick. If your house is priced right, it's not sitting around.
- Average sale price: $1,280,000
- Average list price this month: $1,275,000
- Price per square foot: $624
- Sale-to-list ratio: 100.39% - buyers are paying over ask
- Average days on market: 15
- Predicted market value: $1,222,266
- Estimated monthly rent: $4,818
- Rental yield: 4.37%
- Days-on-market rank: 5 out of 16 in Burlington - that's fast
- Growth rank: 15 out of 22 in Burlington - below average on the neighbourhood leaderboard
One thing to flag - the HonestDoor Price for houses is $1,193,526, which is down 2.35% from the previous period. That's worth watching. It doesn't mean panic, but it does mean the peak may be behind us for now. The 3-month moving average for predicted value is also dipping slightly, from $1,227,078 to $1,222,266. The market isn't falling off a cliff, but it's not climbing either.
Condos - Taking a Breather
Condos in Orchard are a different conversation. The HonestDoor Price has dropped 7.40% to $409,893, and the predicted market value of $514,736 is also sliding below its 3-month average of $524,865. Values have shifted -2.37% recently. That's a real move in a short window.
- Average HonestDoor Price: $409,893 - down 7.40%
- Predicted market value: $514,736
- 3-month moving average: $524,865 - values are dipping
- Estimated monthly rent: $2,564
- Rental yield: 3.81%
- Airbnb estimate: $106 per night
- Growth rank: 8 out of 21 in Burlington - above average on the neighbourhood leaderboard
Here's the silver lining for condo owners. Despite the price dip, Orchard condos rank 8 out of 21 Burlington neighbourhoods for growth. That puts us in the top half of the leaderboard. The correction may be happening now, but the longer-term position is still respectable compared to where other condo markets sit across the city.
The Secret Sauce - Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment
Here's the thing about your city assessment. It's a snapshot from the past. The city looks at sale data from a fixed point in time, runs its numbers, and mails you a piece of paper. By the time it lands in your mailbox, the market has already moved - sometimes by tens of thousands of dollars in either direction.
The HonestDoor Price is a real-world check updated in real time. For houses in Orchard, that number is $1,193,526 right now. For condos, it's $409,893. These aren't guesses pulled from thin air - they reflect what's actually happening on the ground today, not what was happening when the city last ran its assessment cycle. If you're making a financial decision - refinancing, selling, even just figuring out if your insurance coverage makes sense - the HonestDoor Price is the number you want in your hand, not a government figure that could be a year or more out of date.
The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?
For house owners, the window is still open - but it's not wide open forever. Homes are selling above list price and moving in two weeks. That's a good position to be in. But the HonestDoor Price has dipped 2.35%, and the growth rank of 15 out of 22 tells us Orchard isn't leading the Burlington pack right now. If you've been on the fence, this summer is a reasonable time to move. Waiting for a big run-up may not be the play.
For condo owners, the calculus is trickier. A 7.40% drop in the HonestDoor Price is a meaningful signal. If you need to sell, price it sharp - buyers have options. If you can hold, the above-average growth rank of 8 out of 21 suggests Orchard condos have more staying power than a lot of the competition in Burlington. Renting it out at an estimated $2,564 per month with a 3.81% yield isn't a bad holding strategy while you wait for the market to find its footing.
Bottom line - Orchard is not a neighbourhood in trouble. It's a neighbourhood catching its breath. The smart move right now is knowing exactly what your property is worth today, not what the city assessed it at last year. Check your HonestDoor Price, then decide.
orchard | burlington | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.