If you've been glancing at your city tax assessment and feeling pretty good about it, hold on. The numbers on the ground in Mill Creek Ravine South are telling a different story - and you need to hear it before you make any moves this summer.
Let's break it down for us locals, because houses and condos are living in two very different realities right now.
The average HonestDoor Price for a house in our neighbourhood sits at $520,864 - up 0.52% from the previous period. That sounds decent on the surface. But here's the honest part: the predicted market value has slipped to $518,193, and that number is trending down from a 3-month moving average of $537,933. That's a real gap, and it matters if you're pricing a listing.
That growth rank is the number we need to talk about. On the Edmonton neighbourhood leaderboard, houses here are sitting near the bottom - 257 out of 285. The market is taking a breather, and sellers who ignore that are going to overprice and sit.
For context, check out our neighbours. Argyll houses average $532,494 and Hazeldean is at $565,613. We're priced below both. Avonmore comes in cheaper at $498,996. We're in the middle of the pack on price, but lagging on momentum.
Condos here are a different animal. The average HonestDoor Price is $184,249 - and it's up 4.36% from the previous period. That's the bright spot in this report. However, the predicted market value sits at $176,546, just below the 3-month moving average of $178,708, so we're still seeing a slight softening in real-time.
One thing worth flagging - nearby condos in Avonmore ($389,244), Argyll ($342,750), and Hazeldean ($256,506) are all priced significantly higher than what we're seeing here. If you own a condo in Mill Creek Ravine South, that price gap is something to watch. It could mean upside potential, or it could reflect a real difference in product type and demand. Either way, it's worth knowing.
Here's the thing about your city assessment - it's a snapshot from months ago, built on broad formulas. It does not know that house values in our neighbourhood have shifted by -4.91% recently. It does not know what buyers are actually offering right now on your street.
The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time. It pulls from actual market activity and gives you a live number - not a number the city calculated last fall. For houses, that difference between the 3-month average of $537,933 and today's predicted value of $518,193 is nearly $20,000. That's not a rounding error. That's real money you could be mispricing your home by if you rely on an outdated assessment.
Check your HonestDoor Price now. It takes about 30 seconds and it's the most current read you can get on what your home is actually worth today.
Straight talk: if you own a house here and you're thinking about listing this summer, the data says move with your eyes open. Values have pulled back from their recent peak, and our growth rank of 257 out of 285 means we are not in a neighbourhood that's leading the charge right now. That does not mean you can't sell well - it means you need to price sharp and not chase a number from six months ago.
The rental yield of 5.58% on houses is genuinely strong. If selling feels uncertain, holding and renting is a real option worth running the numbers on. At $2,535 per month in estimated rent, a house here can carry itself.
For condo owners, the 4.36% price increase is encouraging. But with a growth rank of 188 out of 297 and nearby condos priced much higher, the story is still unfolding. Patience might be your best play - or price aggressively if you need to move.
Bottom line: don't guess. Pull your HonestDoor Price, compare it to what's actually selling nearby, and make a call based on today's market - not last year's assessment letter.
mill creek ravine south | edmonton | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.