Marysville, Fredericton - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Marysville Real Estate Right Now: Solid Ground, But Watch the Condo Numbers
The Vibe in Marysville This Season
If you live in Marysville and you've been wondering whether your home is holding its value, the short answer is: mostly yes, but it depends on what you own. Houses and condos are telling two very different stories right now, and knowing which story is yours could be worth real money.
Houses - Steady, With a Small Dip
The average HonestDoor Price for a house in Marysville sits at $418,134, down about 1.52% from the last period. That's not a crash - that's the market taking a breather. The predicted market value for houses lands at $425,978, which is just slightly off the 3-month moving average of $426,813. We're talking a difference of less than $1,000. Nothing to panic about.
The bigger story for us as homeowners? Marysville houses rank 5 out of 12 Fredericton neighbourhoods for growth. That puts us in above-average territory on the neighbourhood leaderboard - not leading the pack, but definitely not at the back either. On price, we rank 3 out of 4 comparable areas, which means Marysville is still one of the more accessible entry points into Fredericton homeownership.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Houses): $418,134
- Predicted Market Value: $425,978
- Price Per Square Foot: $289
- Estimated Monthly Rent: $2,111
- Rental Yield: 5.80% - that's a strong return
- Growth Rank: 5 out of 12 in Fredericton (above average)
- Total Transaction Rank in Fredericton: 2nd - this neighbourhood moves properties
That 5.80% rental yield is worth pausing on. If you're an investor or thinking about renting your place out, Marysville houses are punching well above their weight compared to pricier neighbourhoods like Downtown Area ($734,508 average) where yields often compress. More price, not always more return.
Condos - A Bigger Swing, Worth Watching Closely
The condo picture is more complicated. The average HonestDoor Price for condos jumped to $706,233 - up 5.64% from the previous period. That sounds great on paper. But the predicted market value has pulled back to $668,500, which is noticeably below the 3-month moving average of $724,178. Property values in this segment have shifted by -7.50% recently. That gap between the HonestDoor Price and the moving average is a signal worth taking seriously.
On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Marysville condos rank 3 out of 3 in Fredericton for growth. Bottom of the list right now. That doesn't mean condos here are a bad asset - the HonestDoor Price is still well above nearby Maugerville ($532,793) - but it does mean the momentum isn't in your favour if you're waiting for values to climb before selling.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Condos): $706,233
- Predicted Market Value: $668,500
- Estimated Monthly Rent: $3,207
- Rental Yield: 3.51% - moderate
- Airbnb Rank in Fredericton: 1st - top of the city for short-term rental potential
- Growth Rank: 3 out of 3 in Fredericton (bottom performer right now)
One bright spot for condo owners: Marysville holds the number 1 Airbnb rank in all of Fredericton. If your unit sits empty part of the year, that short-term rental angle is worth exploring. The estimated Airbnb income is around $167 per night.
The Secret Sauce - Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment
Here's the thing most Marysville homeowners don't realize. Your city assessment is a snapshot from the past. It's calculated once a year, sometimes using data that's 12 to 18 months old by the time it lands in your mailbox. A lot can change in that window - and in Marysville's condo market right now, a lot has changed.
The HonestDoor Price updates in real time using actual transaction data, current market signals, and comparable sales. For houses, the HonestDoor Price of $418,134 gives you a live read on where buyers are actually landing - not where the city guessed you'd be a year ago. For condo owners especially, the gap between a stale assessment and the current predicted value of $668,500 could mean you're making decisions based on a number that no longer reflects reality.
Check your HonestDoor Price now. It's the real-world check your tax notice can't give you.
The So What - Thinking About Selling This Summer?
If you own a house in Marysville, the timing is reasonable. The market isn't on fire, but 82 transactions in 2026 and a 2nd-place ranking in Fredericton for total transaction volume tells us buyers are still active here. You're not trying to sell in a ghost town. Price it right against that $289 per square foot benchmark and you have a real shot at a clean sale before fall.
If you own a condo, be honest with yourself about the numbers. Values have pulled back 7.50% recently and the growth rank is sitting at the bottom of the Fredericton leaderboard. That doesn't mean don't sell - it means don't wait hoping for a rebound that the data isn't currently supporting. If you need to move, move. Sitting on the sideline hoping the 3-month average climbs back to $724,178 is a gamble right now.
Either way, the first step is the same: pull your HonestDoor Price, compare it to what your neighbours are listing at, and have an honest conversation about what the market is actually telling you - not what you hoped it would say.
marysville | fredericton | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.