If you have been watching the "For Sale" signs around Lebreton Development lately, here is the honest read: values are dipping, not crashing. This is a market catching its breath after a strong run. Whether you own a house or a condo here, the numbers tell two slightly different stories - and both are worth paying attention to.
Our houses are sitting at an average HonestDoor Price of $863,533, with a predicted market value of $886,361. That predicted value is actually slipping - it is down from a 3-month moving average of $888,084, and values have shifted by -1.46% recently. On the neighbourhood leaderboard, our house growth ranks 91 out of 99 comparable Ottawa neighbourhoods. That puts us near the bottom of the pack for growth right now.
The good news? If you are a landlord or thinking about becoming one, houses here still pull solid numbers.
For context, Centretown houses are averaging $1,012,245 - so we are sitting about $150,000 below our neighbour to the east. West Centretown comes in cheaper at $800,926. We are in the middle of the pack on price, but lagging on growth momentum.
Our condo market is feeling a bit more pressure. The average HonestDoor Price is $537,061, down 4.97% from the previous period - that is a bigger drop than houses. The predicted value sits at $565,162, sliding from a 3-month average of $573,452. Values have moved -2.02% recently, and on the condo leaderboard, Lebreton Development ranks 60 out of 104 Ottawa neighbourhoods. Below average, but not at the bottom.
One thing to flag for condo owners: West Centretown condos are averaging $646,463 on the predicted value side - that is over $80,000 more than us. If you are a condo owner in Lebreton Development, that gap is worth understanding before you price anything.
Here is the thing about government assessments - they are snapshots from the past. The city looks at your property on a fixed date and that number gets frozen in time. It does not care that values have shifted -1.46% for houses or -2.02% for condos in recent months. It does not update when the market moves.
The HonestDoor Price is a real-world check. It pulls in current market data and updates regularly, so it reflects what buyers are actually paying right now - not what they were paying two or three years ago when your assessment was locked in. For Lebreton Development owners, this matters a lot right now because the market is actively moving. Relying on a stale assessment to make a selling or refinancing decision is like navigating with an old map. The HonestDoor Price gives you the current picture.
Straight talk: this is not the hottest seller's market we have seen, but it is not a fire sale either. Here is how to think about it.
If you own a house, your predicted value of $886,361 is real money. But with growth ranking near the bottom of Ottawa neighbourhoods and values trending slightly down, waiting for a big price jump this summer is probably not the play. If your life circumstances make selling the right move, pricing sharp and moving quickly makes more sense than holding out for a peak that may not come soon.
If you own a condo, the -4.97% drop in HonestDoor Price is the number to take seriously. Condo inventory tends to be more sensitive to market shifts, and with values sitting below nearby West Centretown and Centretown, buyers have options. That does not mean you cannot sell well - it means you need to price with precision, not optimism.
For both property types, the rental numbers offer a silver lining. A 4.87% yield on houses and $3,912 in estimated monthly rent means if selling does not feel right, holding and renting is a legitimate strategy. The income potential is there.
Bottom line: check your HonestDoor Price today, not your last tax notice. Then make your move with real numbers in hand.
lebreton development | ottawa | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.