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      Hamilton, Richmond - October 2026 Real Estate Report

      2026-10-16 00:00 · Your HonestDoor Team

      Richmond, Hamilton

      Hamilton, Richmond: Your Home Is Worth More Than the City Thinks - Here's the Proof

      If you live in Hamilton and you have not checked your HonestDoor Price lately, you are probably leaving money on the table. The city's assessment says the average home here is worth $1,158,753. The real-world number? Closer to $1,198,101. That gap matters, especially if you are thinking about selling, refinancing, or just want to know where you actually stand.

      The Vibe: What Is Happening in Hamilton Right Now

      Let's be straight with each other. Hamilton is taking a breather. Neighbourhood growth is down 0.08% year over year, and on the neighbourhood leaderboard for Richmond, we rank 14th out of 14 for house price growth. That is not a number to ignore. But it does not mean the sky is falling - it means we need to be smart about timing and pricing.

      There were 16 property transactions recorded in 2026 across 1,392 assessed properties. That is a thin slice of activity, which tells us this is a quiet, low-turnover pocket of Richmond - not a hot-and-cold market, just a steady one.

      Houses: The Real Numbers

      • Average HonestDoor Price: $1,198,101 - down 0.40% from last period
      • Average assessed value: $1,158,753 - the HonestDoor Price runs 3.40% higher
      • Average sale price in 2026: $1,250,000
      • Price per square foot: $702
      • Predicted market value: $1,202,860
      • 3-month moving average: $1,218,544 - values are drifting down slightly
      • Recent value change: -1.80%
      • Average rental estimate: $4,690 per month
      • Rental yield: 4.51% - solid, moderate returns
      • Airbnb estimate: $233 per night
      • Price rank in Richmond: 8 out of 13 - below average for the city
      • Growth rank in Richmond: 14 out of 14 - bottom of the leaderboard

      One house sold last month. That is not a typo. Low volume means each sale carries a lot of weight in setting the price benchmark. If your neighbour lists at the wrong number, it moves the whole street. That is exactly why watching the HonestDoor Price - which updates in real time - matters more here than in a busier neighbourhood.

      How does Hamilton stack up against nearby areas? Queensborough houses average $1,272,881 and are growing faster at -0.01%. Big Bend is in a different league at $1,906,964. We are the more affordable entry point in this corner of Richmond, which has its own appeal for buyers who have been priced out elsewhere.

      Condos: A Wild Swing Worth Watching

      • Average HonestDoor Price: $668,149 - up 22.82% from last period
      • Average sale price in 2026: $477,000
      • Price per square foot: $589
      • Predicted market value: $544,016
      • 3-month moving average: $615,750 - values are pulling back
      • Recent value change: -5.68%
      • Average rental estimate: $2,677 per month
      • Rental yield: 3.75% - moderate
      • Airbnb estimate: $133 per night
      • Growth rank in Richmond: 14 out of 15 - near the bottom
      • Price rank in Richmond: 10 out of 13 - below average

      That 22.82% jump in the HonestDoor Price for condos is the headline number, but pump the brakes before you get too excited. The predicted market value sits at $544,016, which is well below the 3-month moving average of $615,750. Values have dropped 5.68% recently. Only 2 condos sold last month and 4 total in 2026. With that little data, one sale can swing the average hard. Queensborough condos are averaging $746,282 nearby, so Hamilton condos are still a relative bargain in this pocket of Richmond.

      The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Is the Number That Actually Matters

      BC Assessment sends out its numbers once a year, based on data that is already months old by the time it hits your mailbox. In a market that is moving - even slowly - that lag costs you. The HonestDoor Price updates continuously using real transaction data, current market signals, and comparable sales. For Hamilton houses, that means a $39,348 difference between what the government thinks your home is worth and what the market is actually saying. That is not a rounding error. That is a real gap that affects your negotiating position, your refinancing options, and your selling strategy.

      Check your HonestDoor Price at honestdoor.com. It takes 30 seconds and it is free.

      The So What - Should You Sell in Hamilton This Summer?

      Here is the honest answer. If you are a house owner, the window is narrowing. Values are down 1.80% recently and the 3-month trend is pointing lower. Sitting at the bottom of Richmond's growth leaderboard means you are not getting a tailwind from the broader market right now. If selling is on your radar, sooner beats later - and pricing sharp from day one is critical when only one or two homes trade hands in a given month.

      If you own a condo, the picture is murkier. That big HonestDoor Price jump looks good on paper, but the predicted value and recent price drop tell a more cautious story. Low transaction volume means the market is thin. A well-priced listing could stand out - or sit. Get a current HonestDoor estimate before you decide anything.

      For buyers, Hamilton offers a more accessible price point than Queensborough or Big Bend, with rental yields that still make sense. If you are playing a long game and can handle a slow-growth neighbourhood for now, there is value here. Just go in with eyes open and a current HonestDoor Price in hand.

      hamilton | richmond | october 2026

      This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.

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