Guernsey, Hamilton - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Guernsey, Hamilton: Your Neighbour Just Got a Raise. Did You?
If you own a home in Guernsey and you haven't checked your HonestDoor Price lately, you might be leaving real money on the table. The numbers are moving, and not always in the direction you'd expect. Here's the straight story on what's happening right now on our streets.
The Vibe: Houses vs. Condos in Guernsey
The two markets in our neighbourhood are telling two very different stories right now, and it's worth knowing which one you're in.
Houses: Solid Ground, But Watch the Trend
The average HonestDoor Price for a house in Guernsey sits at $818,700 - up 2.98% from the previous period. That's a healthy bump. But here's the nuance: the short-term predicted value is $795,027, which is actually pulling back from the 3-month moving average of $808,918. Values have dipped 1.38% in the recent window. So the longer view looks good, but the near-term is taking a breather.
On the neighbourhood leaderboard, our houses rank 95 out of 198 comparable Hamilton neighbourhoods for growth. That puts us squarely in above-average territory - not leading the pack, but holding our own in a competitive city.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Houses): $818,700
- Short-term predicted value: $795,027
- 3-month moving average: $808,918
- Recent value change: -1.38%
- Estimated monthly rent: $3,593
- Rental yield: 5.08% - strong returns for landlords
- Airbnb estimate: $182 per night
- Growth rank: 95 out of 198 in Hamilton
For landlords and investors among us, that 5.08% rental yield is genuinely strong. A house renting at roughly $3,593 a month against a $795,000 value? That math works. The Airbnb picture is quieter - ranked 131st in Hamilton - so long-term tenants are the smarter play here.
Condos: The Momentum Story
Condos in Guernsey are a different conversation entirely. The average HonestDoor Price is $521,021, up 0.51% from the previous period. More importantly, the short-term predicted value of $518,367 is actually climbing past the 3-month moving average of $511,674. Recent value change? Up 4.38%. That's real upward momentum.
On the leaderboard, our condos rank 62 out of 186 comparable Hamilton neighbourhoods. That's a stronger relative position than our houses, and it signals that condo buyers and sellers in Guernsey are in a more active part of the market right now.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Condos): $521,021
- Short-term predicted value: $518,367
- 3-month moving average: $511,674
- Recent value change: +4.38%
- Estimated monthly rent: $2,619
- Rental yield: 3.80% - moderate but steady
- Airbnb estimate: $130 per night (ranked 89th in Hamilton)
- Growth rank: 62 out of 186 in Hamilton
How We Stack Up Against the Neighbours
Westmeria and Poplar Park are the two names that keep coming up when we compare notes. For houses, Westmeria is sitting at $976,812 and Poplar Park at $879,635 - both pricier than Guernsey. For condos, Westmeria comes in at $542,137 and Poplar Park at $499,571, which means our condo market sits right in the middle of the pack. We're not the cheapest option, but we're not the most expensive either. That's actually a decent spot to be in when buyers are shopping around.
The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment
Here's the thing about your city assessment - it's a snapshot from the past. The city looks at your property on a fixed date and that number gets used for years. It doesn't know about the rate changes last quarter, the new listings that just sold down the street, or the condo momentum we're seeing right now in Guernsey.
The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time. It pulls in current sales data, market shifts, and neighbourhood comparisons - the kind of information that actually reflects what a buyer would pay for your home today. A house assessed by the city at one number could have a HonestDoor Price that tells a completely different story. Right now, with houses showing a gap between the longer-term $818,700 average and the short-term $795,027 prediction, knowing your real-world number isn't optional. It's essential.
Don't let a stale government number be the only thing you know about your biggest asset.
The So What: Thinking About Selling This Summer?
If you own a house in Guernsey and you're eyeing a summer sale, the timing question is real. The longer-term HonestDoor Price trend is positive at $818,700 and up 2.98%, but the short-term data shows a -1.38% dip pulling the predicted value to $795,027. That gap is worth watching. Listing sooner rather than later - before any further softening - could be the smarter move if you want to capture the gains from the stronger period.
If you own a condo, the story flips. Values are trending up right now, with a 4.38% recent gain and a predicted value that's beating the 3-month average. You have momentum on your side. A summer listing for a Guernsey condo puts you in a market that's moving in the right direction.
Either way, the first step is the same - check your HonestDoor Price today. Not the assessment. Not a guess. The real number, based on what's actually happening in Guernsey right now.
guernsey | hamilton | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.