Graham, Clarington - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Graham, Clarington: What Your Home Is Actually Worth Right Now
If you live in Graham and you have not checked your home value since your last property tax bill, you are probably working with stale numbers. Here is what is actually happening on our streets right now.
The Vibe: Houses vs. Condos - Two Very Different Stories
We are seeing a split market in Graham right now, and it matters depending on what you own.
On the house side, things are steady but slow. The average sale price sits at $1,000,000, and listings are coming in around $1,025,000. Buyers are paying about 97.56% of list price, which means if you list at $1,000,000, expect to close closer to $975,000. Homes are sitting on the market for an average of 50 days - that is the slowest days-on-market rank in Clarington (8 out of 8). This is a buyers market, plain and simple. It is not a crash, but it is taking a breather. The HonestDoor Price for houses is averaging $893,701, down 3.34% from the previous period. Price per square foot is around $387.
- Average House Sale Price: $1,000,000
- Average List Price: $1,025,000
- Sale-to-List Ratio: 97.56%
- Average Days on Market: 50
- Price Per Square Foot: $387
- HonestDoor Price (Houses): $893,701 (down 3.34%)
- Predicted Market Value: $924,571
- Rental Estimate: $3,857/month
- Rental Yield: 4.92%
On the condo side, we are watching something interesting. The HonestDoor Price jumped 16.67% to $469,679 - that is a real move. But the predicted market value tells a more cautious story at $402,584, which is actually down from the 3-month moving average of $445,677. Condo growth ranks 37 out of 39 comparable neighbourhoods in Clarington. That puts us near the bottom of the leaderboard for condo growth right now. If you own a condo in Graham, this is the moment to pay close attention.
- HonestDoor Price (Condos): $469,679 (up 16.67%)
- Predicted Market Value: $402,584
- 3-Month Moving Average: $445,677
- Rental Estimate: $2,387/month
- Rental Yield: 4.01%
- Condo Growth Rank: 37 out of 39 in Clarington
The Neighbourhood Leaderboard: Where Does Graham Stand?
For houses, Graham is holding its own. We rank 2 out of 12 on price - meaning we are among the most expensive neighbourhoods in Clarington. Growth ranks 17 out of 47, which puts us in above-average territory. Our closest neighbours - Village Centre at $855,036, Foster at $827,206, and North Village at $792,640 - are all cheaper than us. That gap is worth knowing if you are thinking about what buyers get for their money when they compare options.
For condos, Village Centre and Foster are both slightly pricier than Graham, while Vincent Massey comes in cheaper. The condo segment here is not leading the pack right now.
The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Beats Your Tax Assessment
Here is the thing about your municipal assessment - it is a snapshot from the past. It does not know that Graham house values shifted 3.34% recently. It does not know that condo predicted values are sitting below their 3-month average. It is a static number doing a real-time job, and it is not built for that.
The HonestDoor Price is updated regularly using actual market signals - recent sales, listing activity, price-per-square-foot trends, and neighbourhood comparisons. For Graham houses, that means a real-world check of $893,701 right now, with a predicted value of $924,571 as the market moves. For condos, it flags the gap between the 16.67% HonestDoor jump and the declining predicted value - a signal worth understanding before you make any decisions.
If your tax assessment says one thing and the market is doing another, the HonestDoor Price is the number that actually reflects what a buyer would pay today.
The So What: Thinking About Selling This Summer?
For house owners in Graham, the honest answer is this - you can sell, but you need to price it right from day one. With homes sitting 50 days on average and buyers paying below list, an overpriced listing will just collect dust. The sweet spot is pricing close to your HonestDoor Price of $893,701 and letting the 97.56% sale-to-list ratio work in your favour rather than against you. You are still in one of the pricier pockets of Clarington, and that is a real selling point.
For condo owners, this summer calls for extra homework. The HonestDoor Price jumped, but the predicted value is trending down and the growth rank is near the bottom of the Clarington leaderboard. That does not mean do not sell - it means go in with clear eyes, a sharp price, and a plan. Waiting for the market to come to you may not be the right move here.
Either way, pull your HonestDoor Price before you call an agent. It is the fastest way to walk into that conversation knowing your number - not theirs.
graham | clarington | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.