Duffins Bay, Ajax - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Duffins Bay, Ajax: Your Home Is Worth More Than You Think - But the Market Is Shifting
The Vibe Right Now
If you live in Duffins Bay and you haven't checked your HonestDoor Price lately, now is the time to do it. The market here is taking a breather, and depending on whether you own a house or a condo, the story looks pretty different. Let's break it down.
Houses: Steady, But Watch the Trend
The average HonestDoor Price for a house in Duffins Bay sits at $837,470 right now. That's down 4.85% from the previous period, and the 3-month moving average of $884,807 confirms the direction - values are easing off. The predicted market value lands at $880,167, so there's still a gap between where prices are heading and where they've been trading recently.
On the neighbourhood leaderboard, houses here rank 10 out of 12 in Ajax for growth. That's a bottom-tier position, and it's worth knowing. It doesn't mean your home isn't valuable - it just means the momentum is stronger elsewhere in the city right now.
Here's the silver lining for landlords or anyone thinking about renting: estimated rent comes in at $3,718 per month, with a rental yield of 4.92%. That's a moderate but real return. If you're not selling, holding and renting is a legitimate play.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Houses): $837,470
- Recent price change: -4.85%
- Predicted market value: $880,167
- 3-month moving average: $884,807
- Estimated monthly rent: $3,718
- Rental yield: 4.92%
- Airbnb estimate: $185 per night
- Ajax Airbnb rank: 8 out of 12
- Growth rank: 10 out of 12 in Ajax
Condos: A Different Story - And a Better One
Condo owners in Duffins Bay, we've got something to feel good about. While the average HonestDoor Price of $484,970 is down 7.40% from the previous period, the predicted market value tells a more optimistic story at $523,700. More importantly, that predicted value is increasing compared to the 3-month moving average of $510,411. The trend is turning upward.
On the leaderboard, condos here rank 4 out of 12 in Ajax for growth. That puts us in above-average territory - a meaningful difference from where houses sit. Recent property value change clocks in at +3.99%, which is a real positive signal.
Compared to nearby neighbourhoods, Duffins Bay condos sit above Discovery Bay ($476,265 predicted) and below Clover Ridge ($550,238 predicted). We're right in the middle of the pack, with upward momentum - that's a decent spot to be.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Condos): $484,970
- Recent price change: -7.40%
- Predicted market value: $523,700
- 3-month moving average: $510,411 (and rising)
- Estimated monthly rent: $2,462
- Rental yield: 3.79%
- Airbnb estimate: $122 per night
- Ajax Airbnb rank: 7 out of 12
- Growth rank: 4 out of 12 in Ajax
The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment
Here's something most homeowners don't realize. Your city tax assessment is a snapshot frozen in time. It gets updated on a schedule that has nothing to do with what's actually happening on your street this month. The HonestDoor Price is a real-time estimate - it moves with the market, not with a government calendar.
Right now in Duffins Bay, the gap between the predicted market value ($880,167 for houses) and the 3-month moving average ($884,807) is tightening. That kind of detail doesn't show up on any assessment notice. If you're making a financial decision - refinancing, selling, or just figuring out your net worth - your HonestDoor Price is the number that actually reflects today's reality. Check it now, not in two years when the city gets around to updating their records.
The So What - Thinking About Selling This Summer?
For house owners, the honest answer is this: the market is softer than it was. A 4.85% drop and a bottom-third growth rank means buyers have more options and more leverage than they did a year ago. That doesn't mean you can't sell well - it means you need to price smart from day one. An overpriced listing in a cooling market sits. A well-priced one still moves.
For condo owners, the picture is more encouraging. A +3.99% recent change and a top-four growth rank in Ajax means you have some wind at your back. If you've been on the fence, this summer could be a reasonable window before that momentum either accelerates or stalls.
Either way, the first step is the same - get your current HonestDoor Price, compare it to what your neighbours are listing at, and make a decision based on real numbers. Not what someone sold for two years ago. Not what your assessment says. What the market is actually doing right now, in Duffins Bay, today.
duffins bay | ajax | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.