Churchill Square, St. John's - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Churchill Square, St. John's: Your Neighbour Just Got a Raise. Did You?
If you own a home in Churchill Square and the last number you checked was your city tax assessment, you are almost certainly looking at stale data. Here is what is actually happening on the ground right now.
The Vibe: Houses vs. Condos - Two Very Different Stories
We are seeing a real split in this neighbourhood depending on what you own, so let us break it down honestly.
Houses in Churchill Square
If you own a house here, things are moving in the right direction. The HonestDoor Price is sitting at an average of $590,550, up 1.87% from the previous period. The predicted market value for houses is $579,685, and that number is climbing - it is already above the 3-month moving average of $572,141, which tells us momentum is building, not fading.
On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Churchill Square houses rank 14 out of 91 comparable neighbourhoods in St. John's for growth. That puts us in the top tier of the city. That is not a small thing.
- Average HonestDoor Price: $590,550
- Recent price change: up 1.87%
- Predicted market value: $579,685
- 3-month moving average: $572,141
- Estimated monthly rent: $2,783
- Rental yield: 5.49% - that is a strong return
- Growth rank: 14 out of 91 neighbourhoods in St. John's
For landlords or anyone thinking about renting out, a 5.49% rental yield is genuinely solid. The average rental estimate comes in at $2,825 per month. And if short-term rentals are on your radar, Churchill Square houses rank 3rd in all of St. John's for Airbnb potential at roughly $140 per night. That is a top-3 finish in the entire city.
Condos in Churchill Square
We will be straight with you here - the condo picture is a bit more mixed. The average HonestDoor Price for condos is $251,085, which is down 5.51% from the previous period. That is a dip worth paying attention to.
That said, the predicted market value of $265,730 is actually running above the 3-month moving average of $248,900, and the recent 6.63% change in values suggests some recovery may be underway. On the growth leaderboard, condos rank 51 out of 92 - right in the below-average zone for St. John's. Not a crisis, but not a reason to pop champagne either.
- Average HonestDoor Price: $251,085
- Recent price change: down 5.51%
- Predicted market value: $265,730
- 3-month moving average: $248,900
- Estimated monthly rent: $1,348 - $1,419
- Rental yield: 4.24% - moderate, not exceptional
- Growth rank: 51 out of 92 neighbourhoods in St. John's
Condo owners should keep a close eye on their HonestDoor Price over the next few months. The gap between the predicted value and the moving average is a hopeful sign, but the 5.51% drop in the HonestDoor Price is a real number and it matters if you are thinking about selling.
The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Beats Your Tax Assessment Right Now
Here is the thing about your city tax assessment - it is a snapshot from the past. The city runs those numbers on a fixed cycle, which means your assessment could be reflecting market conditions from a year or more ago. In a neighbourhood like Churchill Square, where house values are actively climbing and the predicted value is already outpacing its own 3-month average, that lag costs you real money.
The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time using current sales data, market trends, and neighbourhood-level signals. It is the real-world check against a number the government printed months ago. If you are a house owner here, your HonestDoor Price is likely telling a more optimistic story than your assessment. If you own a condo, it is giving you an honest look at a softening that your assessment might not yet reflect. Either way, you deserve the current number - not last year's guess.
The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?
For house owners in Churchill Square, this summer looks like a reasonable window. You are sitting in the top 15% of St. John's neighbourhoods for growth, your predicted value is trending upward, and nearby neighbourhoods like Poplar Avenue ($579,726), Portugal Cove Road South ($526,847), and Whiteway Street ($406,859) are all priced below you - which means buyers looking at those areas will see Churchill Square as a competitive option, not an overpriced one.
For condo owners, the honest advice is to watch and wait a little longer if you can. The 5.51% dip in the HonestDoor Price is recent, and while the predicted value is recovering, locking in a sale right now means selling into that dip. If your timeline is flexible, give it a quarter and check your HonestDoor Price again.
Bottom line - pull your HonestDoor Price today. It takes two minutes and it will tell you more about what your home is worth right now than any document the city mailed you.
churchill square | st. johns | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.