Churchill Meadows, Mississauga - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Churchill Meadows, Mississauga: Your Neighbour Just Asked "Should I Sell This Summer?" Here's the Real Answer.
The Vibe Right Now
If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs in Churchill Meadows, here's what's actually happening. The market is split - and which side of the split you're on matters a lot for your wallet.
Houses and condos are telling two very different stories right now. Let's break them down.
Houses: Taking a Breather
Our house market is cooling off, no question. The average sale price sits at $1,630,000, but buyers are negotiating hard - homes are selling at about 96 cents on the dollar. That gap between the average list price of $1,699,999 and what buyers are actually paying tells you who has the leverage right now. It's them, not us.
Homes are sitting for an average of 62 days before selling. That's slow. The days-on-market rank is 11 out of 13 compared to similar Mississauga neighbourhoods - meaning almost everyone else is moving homes faster than we are. The HonestDoor predicted value for houses is $1,153,023, which is dipping slightly below the 3-month moving average of $1,161,963. Values have shifted -1.40% recently.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Houses): $1,154,659
- Average Sale Price: $1,630,000
- Average List Price: $1,699,999
- Sale-to-List Ratio: 95.88%
- Average Days on Market: 62
- Price per Square Foot: $362
- Estimated Monthly Rent: $4,631
- Rental Yield: 4.47%
- Growth Rank: 22 out of 32 in Mississauga
- Price Rank: 5 out of 17 in Mississauga - above average
The one bright spot? Churchill Meadows houses still rank 5th out of 17 neighbourhoods on price in Mississauga. We're not cheap. That's worth something.
Condos: The Quiet Outperformer
Here's the part most people in the neighbourhood are missing. While houses are taking a breather, our condo market is quietly climbing the leaderboard. Condo values are up 1.05% recently, and the predicted value of $623,016 is trending above the 3-month moving average of $619,674. That's momentum in the right direction.
On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Churchill Meadows condos rank 3rd out of 33 comparable Mississauga neighbourhoods for growth. That's a top-10% finish. Not bad at all.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Condos): $625,018
- Predicted Market Value: $623,016
- 3-Month Moving Average: $619,674
- Recent Value Change: +1.05%
- Estimated Monthly Rent: $3,021
- Rental Yield: 3.60%
- Airbnb Estimate: $150 per night
- Growth Rank: 3 out of 33 in Mississauga - top performer
Compared to neighbours, our condos sit just above Central Erin Mills ($609,690) and just below Erin Mills ($637,814). We're right in the middle of the pack on price - but beating almost everyone on growth momentum.
The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment Right Now
Here's something worth knowing. Your city assessment was set using data that's already old. It doesn't know that house values in Churchill Meadows have shifted -1.40% recently, or that condo momentum is quietly building. It's a snapshot from the past being used to make decisions in the present.
The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time. It's pulling in current market signals - what's actually selling, what buyers are actually paying, what the trend line looks like today. For houses, that number is $1,154,659. For condos, it's $625,018. Those are the numbers that reflect what a buyer would put on a table right now - not what a government office calculated a year or two ago.
If you're making any decision - selling, refinancing, even just figuring out if your insurance coverage still makes sense - the HonestDoor Price is the real-world check you need before you do anything else.
The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?
For house sellers, be honest with yourself. Sixty-two days on market and buyers paying below list price means you need to price sharp from day one. Overpricing in this market doesn't get you a better offer - it just gets you a longer wait and a price cut later. If your house is priced right and presented well, there's still a buyer out there. Churchill Meadows is still a top-5 price neighbourhood in Mississauga. That's your selling point.
For condo sellers, the timing is actually pretty good. Values are trending up, you're sitting in a top-3 growth neighbourhood right now, and rental demand at $3,021 per month means investors are paying attention. If you've been on the fence, this summer is a reasonable window to move.
Either way, the first step is the same - check your HonestDoor Price today. Know your real number before you call an agent, before you set a list price, and before you make any assumptions based on what your neighbour's place sold for two years ago. The market has moved. Your starting point should reflect that.
churchill meadows | mississauga | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.