Centennial, Oshawa - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Centennial, Oshawa: Prices Are Dipping - Here Is What Your Home Is Actually Worth Right Now
The Vibe in Centennial
If you have been watching the "For Sale" signs on your street and wondering what is going on, here is the honest answer: Centennial is taking a breather. Values are down slightly across the board, but this neighbourhood is not in freefall - it is recalibrating. And for anyone thinking about their next move, the details matter a lot right now.
On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Centennial ranks 11 out of 20 for growth among Oshawa neighbourhoods. That puts us in the below-average tier for now. Not last place, but not leading the pack either. Worth knowing before you price anything.
Houses: Still Solid, But Watch the Trend
The average HonestDoor Price for a house in Centennial sits at $766,525, down 0.37% from the previous period. The predicted market value is $769,404, but that number is sliding - it is already below the 3-month moving average of $785,815, and recent values have shifted by -3.02%. That gap is the story. Prices were higher just a few months ago.
The good news for landlords and investors? Houses here are pulling real rental weight.
- Average HonestDoor Price: $766,525
- Predicted Market Value: $769,404
- 3-Month Moving Average: $785,815
- Recent Price Change: -3.02%
- Average Rental Estimate: $3,504 per month
- Rental Yield: 5.12% - strong returns
- Airbnb Estimate: $174 per night
- Airbnb Rank in Oshawa: 12
- Growth Rank: 11 out of 20 in Oshawa
How does Centennial stack up against the neighbours? Northglen houses average $893,790 and Samac comes in at $812,854 - both pricier than us. O'Neill is the budget option at $679,775. We sit comfortably in the middle of that range.
Condos: The Bigger Drop to Watch
Condos are where we need to pay closer attention. The average HonestDoor Price is $463,724, down 4.15% from the previous period. The predicted value of $483,795 is also tracking below the 3-month moving average of $495,207. That is a meaningful slide in a short window.
The rental yield on condos comes in at 3.87% - moderate, not spectacular. If you own a condo here and have been assuming it is worth what it was a year ago, that assumption needs a reality check.
- Average HonestDoor Price: $463,724
- Predicted Market Value: $483,795
- 3-Month Moving Average: $495,207
- Recent Price Change: -1.20%
- Average Rental Estimate: $2,354 per month
- Rental Yield: 3.87% - moderate returns
- Airbnb Estimate: $117 per night
- Airbnb Rank in Oshawa: 9
- Growth Rank: 11 out of 19 in Oshawa
On the condo leaderboard, Centennial actually beats the nearby competition. Our condos are priced higher than Samac ($401,806), O'Neill ($431,183), and Northglen ($365,375). We are the most expensive condo market in that group - which cuts both ways depending on whether you are buying or selling.
The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment
Here is the thing about your city assessment - it is a snapshot from the past. The City of Oshawa is not updating your property value every time the market shifts. That number can be months or even years behind what is actually happening on your street.
The HonestDoor Price is different. It updates in real time, pulling from actual sales data and current market signals. Right now, with Centennial house values sitting 3.02% below their recent peak, the gap between your old assessment and your real-world value could be significant - in either direction. If you are making any financial decision tied to your home - refinancing, selling, even just understanding your net worth - the HonestDoor Price is the number you want in your hand, not a government figure that has not caught up to 2025.
So What Does This Mean If You Are Thinking About Selling This Summer?
Straight talk: this is not the peak market of a couple of years ago, and pretending otherwise will cost you. If you are a house owner in Centennial, you are still sitting on a strong asset - $766,525 average value with a 5.12% rental yield is genuinely solid. But the 3-month trend is pointing down, not up. Waiting for prices to bounce back before listing is a gamble right now.
If you own a condo, the urgency is higher. A 4.15% drop in the HonestDoor Price is a real signal. Buyers are negotiating harder, and the market is giving them room to do it.
The move for anyone considering a sale this summer is simple: get your current HonestDoor Price, compare it honestly to what you paid or what you owe, and price to sell - not to hope. Overpriced listings in a softening market sit. Correctly priced homes in Centennial still move.
Bottom line - Centennial is a solid neighbourhood in a market that is finding its floor. Know your real number, make a smart call, and do not let a stale assessment be the reason you leave money on the table.
centennial | oshawa | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.