Carlington, Ottawa - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Carlington Real Talk: Solid Value, Quieter Market, and a Rental Story Worth Knowing
If you own a home in Carlington and you're wondering whether to hold, sell, or rent - here's the honest breakdown. No fluff, just what the numbers actually mean for your street.
The Vibe: Houses vs. Condos
For houses, we're in steady territory. The average HonestDoor Price sits at $684,891, down less than 1% from last period. That's not a crash - that's a market taking a breather. The average sale price came in at $685,000, and listings are sitting at $699,900 on average. Buyers are paying about 97.87% of list price, which means if you're pricing at $700K, expect offers closer to $685K. Plan for that gap.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Houses): $684,891
- Average Sale Price: $685,000
- Average List Price: $699,900
- Price Per Square Foot: $342
- Sale-to-List Ratio: 97.87%
- Average Days on Market: 18 days
- Predicted Market Value: $691,610
- Estimated Monthly Rent: $3,247
- Rental Yield: 5.27%
That 5.27% rental yield on houses is genuinely strong. If you're a landlord or thinking about becoming one, Carlington is quietly punching above its weight. The average rental estimate of $3,225 per month makes the math work in a way a lot of Ottawa neighbourhoods can't say right now.
For condos, the picture is a bit more cautious. The HonestDoor Price is $640,687, down 6.17% from last period - that's a more meaningful dip and worth watching. The predicted market value is $682,790, which is actually ticking up slightly against the 3-month moving average of $682,217. So there's a floor forming, but we're not out of the woods yet. Rental yield on condos comes in at 3.76%, which is moderate - decent, but not the standout story that houses are telling right now.
- Average HonestDoor Price (Condos): $640,687
- HonestDoor Price Change: -6.17%
- Predicted Market Value: $682,790
- 3-Month Moving Average: $682,217
- Estimated Monthly Rent: $2,823
- Rental Yield: 3.76%
- Airbnb Estimate: $131 per night
The Neighbourhood Leaderboard
Let's be straight about where Carlington sits in the Ottawa rankings. For houses, we rank 78 out of 99 neighbourhoods for growth - that puts us in the below-average tier. Price rank is 22 out of 29, also on the lower end. But here's the flip side: days-on-market ranks 8 out of 21, meaning houses here sell faster than most. Buyers are still showing up. For condos, the growth rank is 58 out of 104 - again, below average, but not at the bottom.
The honest read? Carlington is not a prestige-price neighbourhood, and that's actually the point. Westboro houses average $1,290,534. Laurentian is at $1,494,377. Civic Hospital - Central Park sits at $976,646. We're the affordable entry point into a corridor of much pricier real estate. That positioning matters when buyers get priced out of those streets and start looking one neighbourhood over.
The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment Right Now
Here's the thing about your city assessment - it's a snapshot from the past. Ottawa's property assessments can lag real market conditions by a year or more. The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time, pulling from actual sales data and current market signals. Right now, with house values sitting at $684,891 and condo values shifting noticeably, the gap between what the city thinks your home is worth and what a buyer would actually pay could be significant - in either direction.
If you're a house owner, your HonestDoor Price is likely closer to reality than any assessment you received last year. If you own a condo and saw that 6.17% dip, you want to know that now - not when you're already mid-negotiation with a buyer who pulled the same data.
Check your HonestDoor Price before you do anything else. It takes two minutes and it's the most current number you'll find.
The So What: Thinking About Selling This Summer?
If you own a house in Carlington and you're thinking about listing this summer, here's the real talk. You're not in a hot seller's market, but you're not in a bad one either. Homes are moving in about 18 days on average, and buyers are close to full price - just not over it. Price sharp from day one. The days of listing high and waiting for a bidding war are not the Carlington story right now.
The sweet spot is pricing at or just under $699,900 with a clean presentation. Buyers doing their homework will see the HonestDoor Price at $684,891 and the predicted value at $691,610 - so if you're asking $720K without justification, expect pushback.
If you own a condo, take a harder look before committing to a summer sale. That 6.17% price drop is a real signal. It doesn't mean don't sell - it means know your number cold before you list, and don't anchor to what your neighbour got 18 months ago. The market has moved.
Bottom line: Carlington is affordable, rentals are strong, and buyers are still active. It's not flashy, but it works. And right now, knowing your real number is the edge that matters most.
carlington | ottawa | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.