Auburn Bay, Calgary - October 2026 Real Estate Report
Auburn Bay Real Estate: What's Actually Happening on Your Street Right Now
If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs around the lake and wondering whether now is the time to make a move, here's the straight story on what Auburn Bay's market is doing in 2026.
The Vibe: Houses vs. Condos - Two Very Different Stories
We're seeing a split market in Auburn Bay right now, and it matters which side of that line your property sits on.
Houses: The average sale price is sitting at $730,004, which is down 0.6% from last month. Fifty homes sold this period - that's down 7.4% - and they're sitting on the market for about 29 days on average. Buyers are paying 98.88% of list price, meaning sellers are getting close to what they're asking, but not quite. The honest read here? Our house market is taking a breather. It's not falling off a cliff, but the days of every listing sparking a bidding war are behind us for now. The predicted market value for houses is $743,555, which is actually trending up from the 3-month moving average of $737,471 - so the underlying momentum isn't gone.
- Average sale price: $730,004 (down 0.6% from last month)
- Homes sold: 50 (down 7.4%)
- Average days on market: 29
- Sale-to-list ratio: 98.88%
- Price per square foot: $407
- Predicted market value: $743,555
- Estimated monthly rent: $3,382
- Rental yield: 5.19%
Condos: This is where it gets interesting. The average condo sale price jumped to $307,500 - up 13.5% from last month. But pump the brakes before you get too excited. Only 2 condos sold, so that number can swing wildly with just one or two deals. Condos are sitting on the market for 83 days on average, which is noticeably longer than nearby Seton at 54 days and Mahogany at 64 days. The predicted market value of $320,103 is also drifting down from the 3-month moving average of $322,387. Our condo segment is moving slowly, and buyers know it.
- Average sale price: $307,500 (up 13.5% from last month - low volume, treat with caution)
- Condos sold: 2
- Average days on market: 83
- Sale-to-list ratio: 96.61%
- Price per square foot: $418
- Predicted market value: $320,103
- Estimated monthly rent: $1,705
- Rental yield: 4.16%
The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment Right Now
Here's something most Auburn Bay homeowners don't realize. The city's assessed value for houses here averages $777,313. But the average HonestDoor Price - which pulls from real, current market data - is $737,779. That's a gap of over $39,000. For condos, the gap is even wider. The city assessment averages $358,728, while the HonestDoor Price sits at $319,969 - a difference of nearly $39,000 in the other direction from what you might expect your unit to fetch.
Why does this matter? Because your tax assessment is a snapshot from the past. It doesn't know what happened on your street last month. The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time, using actual transaction data from the 323 house sales and 52 condo sales that happened in Auburn Bay in 2026. If you're making any financial decision - refinancing, selling, or just figuring out your net worth - you want the number that reflects today, not last year.
On the neighbourhood leaderboard, Auburn Bay houses rank 62 out of 221 Calgary neighbourhoods for growth, putting us solidly in the above-average tier. For total transactions, we rank 3rd in all of Calgary - meaning this is one of the most actively traded neighbourhoods in the city. That kind of liquidity is a real asset when you're thinking about selling.
The "So What?": Thinking About Selling This Summer?
If you own a house in Auburn Bay and you're thinking about listing this summer, the window is still open - but it's not as wide as it was. Here's the practical breakdown:
- Houses are still selling close to list price (98.88%), so pricing right matters more than ever. Overprice it and you'll sit.
- Twenty-nine days on market is reasonable, but it's not the frenzied pace of a year ago. Plan for a slightly longer process.
- Your HonestDoor Price of $737,779 is a better starting point for pricing conversations than the city's $777,313 assessment. Listing based on the assessment could leave you chasing the market down.
- Rental yield of 5.19% means if selling isn't urgent, holding and renting is a genuinely solid option. $3,382 a month in estimated rent is real money.
If you own a condo, the honest advice is to be patient and price competitively. Eighty-three days on market is a long time, and with only 2 sales last period, the data is thin. Check your HonestDoor Price against what Seton condos are doing - they're priced slightly higher at $328,075 and selling faster. That's a signal worth paying attention to before you set your number.
Bottom line: Auburn Bay is still one of Calgary's most active neighbourhoods by transaction volume, and house values have real support. But this is a market that rewards smart pricing over wishful thinking. Know your real number before you make your move.
auburn bay | calgary | october 2026This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.