Duffins Bay, Ajax - June 2026 Real Estate Report

Duffins Bay, Ajax: Your Neighbour Just Got a Surprise - Here's What Your Home Is Actually Worth Right Now

The Vibe in Duffins Bay

If you've been watching the "For Sale" signs around Duffins Bay lately, here's what's actually happening. The market is sending mixed signals depending on what you own - and the gap between what the city thinks your place is worth and what buyers will actually pay is wider than you'd expect.

The short version: houses are holding up better than condos right now, but neither is a slam dunk. Let's break it down for us locals.

Houses: Steady, But Watch the Trend Line

The average HonestDoor Price for a house in Duffins Bay sits at $878,101 - up 3.65% from the previous period. That sounds like good news, and it mostly is. But here's the catch: the predicted market value right now is $847,219, which is sliding below the 3-month moving average of $884,189. In plain terms, the recent momentum is pulling back a bit. The market is taking a breather.

• HonestDoor Price (Houses): $878,101
• Predicted Market Value: $847,219
• 3-Month Moving Average: $884,189
• Recent Value Change: -3.64%
• Average Rental Estimate: $3,851 per month
• Rental Yield: 4.97%
• Airbnb Estimate: $191 per night
• Growth Rank: 8 out of 12 in Ajax

That 4.97% rental yield is worth paying attention to. For anyone thinking about holding rather than selling, a house here pulling in roughly $3,851 a month in rent is a real number - not a fantasy. On the neighbourhood leaderboard, houses rank 8th out of 12 in Ajax for growth. That's below average, no sugarcoating it. But compared to nearby Southwood ($775,399) and Clover Ridge ($833,125), Duffins Bay houses are still commanding a premium. Discovery Bay ($986,964) is the only neighbour running ahead of us.

Condos: A Tougher Story Right Now

Condo owners, this one needs a straight look. The average HonestDoor Price is $500,644, which has dipped 1.53% from the previous period. The predicted market value is $508,413, sitting below the 3-month moving average of $516,241. The short-term direction is down.

• HonestDoor Price (Condos): $500,644
• Predicted Market Value: $508,413
• 3-Month Moving Average: $516,241
• Recent Value Change: +1.66%
• Average Rental Estimate: $2,531 per month
• Rental Yield: 3.82%
• Airbnb Estimate: $126 per night
• Growth Rank: 9 out of 12 in Ajax

On the condo leaderboard, we're sitting at 9th out of 12 in Ajax - below average. Clover Ridge condos are running higher at $538,044, while Discovery Bay ($477,822) and Southwood ($446,277) are cheaper options for buyers shopping around. If you own a condo here, the rental yield of 3.82% is moderate - it covers costs but it's not a windfall. The $2,531 monthly rent estimate is the number that matters most if you're deciding between selling and renting out.

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Matters More Than Your Tax Assessment

Here's the thing most Duffins Bay homeowners don't realize. Your city assessment is a snapshot from the past - sometimes years old. It doesn't know that your street has changed, that buyer demand shifted last quarter, or that the 3-month trend in your property type is moving in a specific direction right now.

The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time. It's pulling in actual market signals - not a bureaucrat's estimate from a spreadsheet last updated before your neighbour renovated their kitchen. For a house in Duffins Bay, the difference between the city's static number and the HonestDoor Price could mean tens of thousands of dollars in how you price, negotiate, or plan your next move. That's real money. Check it now, not when you're already in a deal.

The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

If you own a house and you're thinking about listing this summer, the window is real but it's not wide open forever. Values are up year-over-year, but the 3-month slide tells us buyer urgency is cooling. Pricing sharp and early matters more than it did six months ago.

If you own a condo, be honest with yourself about timing. The market is softer, the growth rank is below average, and buyers have options in nearby neighbourhoods at lower price points. That doesn't mean don't sell - it means don't overprice and don't wait for a rebound that isn't confirmed yet.

For both property types, the smartest first step is the same: pull your HonestDoor Price today and compare it to what you thought your place was worth. If there's a gap - and there usually is - that gap is your starting point for every conversation you have with an agent, a buyer, or your own family about what comes next.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.