Churchill Square, St. John's - June 2026 Real Estate Report

Churchill Square, St. John's: Your Neighbour Just Asked If Now Is a Good Time to Sell

If you own a home in Churchill Square and you haven't checked your HonestDoor Price lately, here's the honest answer: the market is moving, and your city assessment is already behind. Here's what's actually happening on your street right now.

The Vibe: Houses vs. Condos - Two Very Different Stories

We're seeing a split market in Churchill Square, and it matters depending on what you own.

Houses are holding their ground. The average HonestDoor Price sits at $590,313, with a predicted value of $593,279 - already climbing above the 3-month moving average of $579,970. That upward trend is a real signal. The dip of 0.50% from the previous period is minor - think of it as the market catching its breath before the next move. On the neighbourhood leaderboard, house growth ranks 84 out of 91 St. John's neighbourhoods, so we're not leading the pack on appreciation right now. But the rental story is strong: $2,840 per month in estimated rent and a 5.46% rental yield. That's a number landlords in other parts of the city would be happy to see.

Condos are a different conversation. The average HonestDoor Price is $217,570, and values have shifted down 11.45% from the previous period. The predicted value of $245,697 is also pulling back from the 3-month moving average of $251,540. That's a real softening, not a blip. The rental yield sits at 4.27% - moderate, not spectacular. On the flip side, condo growth ranks 13 out of 94 St. John's neighbourhoods. That top-tier ranking sounds good, but in this case it reflects how the condo segment is moving relative to others - not necessarily in the direction you want if you're a seller.

• House HonestDoor Price: $590,313 (down 0.50%)
• House predicted value: $593,279 (above 3-month average of $579,970)
• House rental estimate: $2,840/month - rental yield: 5.46%
• House Airbnb estimate: $141/night - Airbnb rank in St. John's: 2nd
• House growth rank: 84 out of 91 St. John's neighbourhoods
• Condo HonestDoor Price: $217,570 (down 11.45%)
• Condo predicted value: $245,697 (below 3-month average of $251,540)
• Condo rental estimate: $1,173/month - rental yield: 4.27%
• Condo Airbnb estimate: $58/night
• Condo growth rank: 13 out of 94 St. John's neighbourhoods

The Secret Sauce: Why Your HonestDoor Price Beats Your Tax Assessment Right Now

Here's the thing about your city assessment - it's a snapshot from the past. It doesn't know that house predicted values in Churchill Square just crossed back above the 3-month moving average. It doesn't know that your street ranks 2nd in all of St. John's for Airbnb income potential. That's not a small detail - that's real money sitting in your property that a static government number will never show you.

The HonestDoor Price is updated in real time. It pulls from actual market movement, not a once-a-year government calculation. If you're a house owner in Churchill Square, your HonestDoor Price is already tracking that upward predicted value trend. If you own a condo, it's giving you the honest picture on the softening - which is exactly what you need to know before making any decisions. Waiting for your next tax assessment to tell you where you stand is like checking last year's weather forecast before you leave the house today.

The "So What?" - Thinking About Selling This Summer?

If you own a house in Churchill Square, the timing conversation is real. The predicted value is trending up, the rental yield is strong, and sitting at number 2 in St. John's for Airbnb potential means buyers with income-property goals are going to notice your listing. Nearby Poplar Avenue is predicted slightly higher at $601,137, so pricing your home right - not just based on your assessment - is the difference between a fast sale and a stale listing.

If you own a condo, summer 2025 calls for a clear-eyed look at the numbers before you list. Values have pulled back, and the predicted value is below the recent moving average. That doesn't mean don't sell - it means price it sharp, know your real number, and don't anchor to what your assessment says. A buyer's agent will absolutely know the difference.

Either way, the first move is the same: check your HonestDoor Price today. It's the real-world number - not the government's best guess from a year ago.

This information is all based on our opinions based on the information available to us. Everyone's situation may be different and you should reach out to us for more personalized information.